Correlation Between Vanguard and TD Active

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard and TD Active at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard and TD Active into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard SP 500 and TD Active Enhanced, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard and TD Active and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard with a short position of TD Active. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard and TD Active.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard and TD Active

0.85
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and TUED is 0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard SP 500 and TD Active Enhanced in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TD Active Enhanced and Vanguard is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with TD Active. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TD Active Enhanced has no effect on the direction of Vanguard i.e., Vanguard and TD Active go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard and TD Active

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard SP 500 is expected to generate 0.9 times more return on investment than TD Active. However, Vanguard SP 500 is 1.11 times less risky than TD Active. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. TD Active Enhanced is currently generating about 0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  14,415  in Vanguard SP 500 on April 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  585.00  from holding Vanguard SP 500 or generate 4.06% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard SP 500  vs.  TD Active Enhanced

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.
TD Active Enhanced 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TD Active Enhanced are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, TD Active displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard and TD Active Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard and TD Active

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard and TD Active positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard position performs unexpectedly, TD Active can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TD Active will offset losses from the drop in TD Active's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard SP 500 and TD Active Enhanced pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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