Correlation Between Vanguard and Select Sector

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard and Select Sector at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard and Select Sector into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard SP 500 and The Select Sector, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard and Select Sector and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard with a short position of Select Sector. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard and Select Sector.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard and Select Sector

-0.68

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard  Select Sector

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Select is -0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard SP 500 and The Select Sector in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Select Sector and Vanguard is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with Select Sector. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Select Sector has no effect on the direction of Vanguard i.e., Vanguard and Select Sector go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard and Select Sector

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard SP 500 is expected to generate 0.69 times more return on investment than Select Sector. However, Vanguard SP 500 is 1.45 times less risky than Select Sector. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Select Sector is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  976,969  in Vanguard SP 500 on April 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  103,030  from holding Vanguard SP 500 or generate 10.55% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard SP 500  vs.  The Select Sector

Vanguard SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

Select Sector

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days The Select Sector has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Select Sector is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Vanguard and Select Sector

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard and Select Sector positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard position performs unexpectedly, Select Sector can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Select Sector will offset losses from the drop in Select Sector's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard SP 500 and The Select Sector pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.