Correlation Between Vanguard and Emerging Markets

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard SP 500 and Emerging Markets Portfolio, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard and Emerging Markets

0.97

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard  Emerging Markets

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Emerging is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard SP 500 and Emerging Markets Portfolio in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Por and Vanguard is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Por has no effect on the direction of Vanguard i.e., Vanguard and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard and Emerging Markets

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard is expected to generate 1.61 times less return on investment than Emerging Markets. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard SP 500 is 1.37 times less risky than Emerging Markets. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Portfolio is currently generating about 0.17 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,420  in Emerging Markets Portfolio on August 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  247.00  from holding Emerging Markets Portfolio or generate 10.21% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	98.46%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard SP 500  vs.  Emerging Markets Portfolio

Vanguard SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Vanguard is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Emerging Markets Por

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Portfolio are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental drivers, Emerging Markets may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2025.

Pair Trading with Vanguard and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.

The idea behind Vanguard SP 500 and Emerging Markets Portfolio pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.