Correlation Between SPDR Series and Vanguard

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR Series and Vanguard at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR Series and Vanguard into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR Series Trust and Vanguard SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR Series and Vanguard and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR Series with a short position of Vanguard. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR Series and Vanguard.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR Series and Vanguard

0.37

Correlation Coefficient

SPDR Series  Vanguard

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and Vanguard is 0.37. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR Series Trust and Vanguard SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard SP 500 and SPDR Series is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR Series Trust are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard SP 500 has no effect on the direction of SPDR Series i.e., SPDR Series and Vanguard go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR Series and Vanguard

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SPDR Series Trust is expected to generate 3.41 times more return on investment than Vanguard. However, SPDR Series is 3.41 times more volatile than Vanguard SP 500. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard SP 500 is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of risk. If you would invest  113,826  in SPDR Series Trust on April 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  31,298  from holding SPDR Series Trust or generate 27.5% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

SPDR Series Trust  vs.  Vanguard SP 500

SPDR Series Trust

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Series Trust are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, SPDR Series showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

Pair Trading with SPDR Series and Vanguard

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR Series and Vanguard positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR Series position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard's long position.

The idea behind SPDR Series Trust and Vanguard SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.