Alaska Air Group Stock Performance
| ALK Stock | USD 55.14 2.50 4.75% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Alaska Air holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.79, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alaska Air will likely underperform. Please check Alaska Air's value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Alaska Air's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alaska Air Group are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak essential indicators, Alaska Air disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 4.75 | Five Day Return 4.16 | Year To Date Return 7.03 | Ten Year Return (18.03) | All Time Return 6.2 K |
Last Split Factor 2:1 | Dividend Date 2015-09-01 | Ex Dividend Date 2020-02-14 | Last Split Date 2014-07-10 |
1 | Allegiant to acquire Sun Country in 1.5 billion airline merger | 01/12/2026 |
2 | Alaska Air Non-GAAP EPS of 0.43 beats by 0.32, revenue of 3.63B misses by 10M | 01/23/2026 |
3 | Alkane Resources within All Ordinaries gold mining framework | 01/27/2026 |
4 | Southern Cross Gold Drills 559 Metres 2.1 gt Gold Traversing 16 Vein Sets | 01/28/2026 |
5 | Record quarterly production operational cash build | 01/29/2026 |
6 | A new home for training excellence Alaska Airlines unveils state-of-the-art Global Training Center | 01/30/2026 |
7 | Aloha to Big Rewards Millions of Atmos Rewards Points Up for Grabs for Hawaiian Airlines World Elite Mastercard Cardmembers in 2026 | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.3 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.6 B |
Alaska Air Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,113 in Alaska Air Group on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,401 from holding Alaska Air Group or generate 34.06% return on investment over 90 days. Alaska Air Group is generating 0.5182% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.7291% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Alaska, and above 90% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Alaska Air Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Alaska Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 55.14 | 90 days | 55.14 | nearly 4.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alaska Air to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.96 (This Alaska Air Group probability density function shows the probability of Alaska Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Alaska Air Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alaska Air
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alaska Air Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alaska Air Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alaska Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alaska Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alaska Air Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alaska Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Alaska Air Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alaska Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alaska Air Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alaska Air Group has 6.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Alaska Air Group has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Alaska to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 92.0% of Alaska Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Aloha to Big Rewards Millions of Atmos Rewards Points Up for Grabs for Hawaiian Airlines World Elite Mastercard Cardmembers in 2026 |
Alaska Air Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alaska Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alaska Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alaska Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 117.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Alaska Air Fundamentals Growth
Alaska Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alaska Air, and Alaska Air fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alaska Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0236 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0171 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 10.64 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 115.53 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 112.95 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.43 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.43 X | ||||
| Revenue | 14.24 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.81 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.29 B | ||||
| Net Income | 100 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 627 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 24.83 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 6.89 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.03 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 35.64 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.25 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.83 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 6.11 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 20.36 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 5.03 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (2.38 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.66 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.8 B | ||||
About Alaska Air Performance
By examining Alaska Air's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Alaska Air's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Alaska Air is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 12.90 | 13.62 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Things to note about Alaska Air Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alaska Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alaska Air Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alaska Air Group has 6.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Alaska Air Group has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Alaska to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 92.0% of Alaska Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Aloha to Big Rewards Millions of Atmos Rewards Points Up for Grabs for Hawaiian Airlines World Elite Mastercard Cardmembers in 2026 |
- Analyzing Alaska Air's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alaska Air's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Alaska Air's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Alaska Air's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alaska Air's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alaska Air's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alaska Air's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alaska Air Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alaska Air. If investors know Alaska will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Alaska Air assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alaska Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alaska that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alaska Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alaska Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alaska Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alaska Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alaska Air's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alaska Air represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alaska Air's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.