Deckers Outdoor Stock Performance

DECK Stock  USD 99.90  2.28  2.34%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Deckers Outdoor holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.26, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Deckers Outdoor will likely underperform. Please check Deckers Outdoor's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Deckers Outdoor's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Deckers Outdoor are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental indicators, Deckers Outdoor disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-75 M

Deckers Outdoor Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,150  in Deckers Outdoor on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,840  from holding Deckers Outdoor or generate 22.58% return on investment over 90 days. Deckers Outdoor is currently generating 0.3584% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.2193% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Deckers, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Deckers Outdoor is expected to generate 2.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Deckers Outdoor Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Deckers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 99.90 90 days 99.90 
about 30.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deckers Outdoor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.97 (This Deckers Outdoor probability density function shows the probability of Deckers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Deckers Outdoor will likely underperform. Additionally Deckers Outdoor has an alpha of 0.2837, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Deckers Outdoor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deckers Outdoor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deckers Outdoor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deckers Outdoor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.6899.90102.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.91114.29116.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.6299.84102.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.07102.59108.11
Details

Deckers Outdoor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deckers Outdoor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deckers Outdoor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deckers Outdoor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deckers Outdoor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
9.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Deckers Outdoor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deckers Outdoor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deckers Outdoor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Deckers Outdoor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deckers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deckers Outdoor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deckers Outdoor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Deckers Outdoor Fundamentals Growth

Deckers Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Deckers Outdoor, and Deckers Outdoor fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Deckers Stock performance.

About Deckers Outdoor Performance

By examining Deckers Outdoor's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Deckers Outdoor's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Deckers Outdoor is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories for casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities. The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Goleta, California. Deckers Outdoor operates under Footwear Accessories classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 4000 people.

Things to note about Deckers Outdoor performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deckers Outdoor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Deckers Outdoor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Deckers Outdoor's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Deckers Outdoor's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Deckers Outdoor's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Deckers Outdoor's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Deckers Outdoor's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Deckers Outdoor's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Deckers Outdoor's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Deckers Outdoor's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Deckers Outdoor's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Deckers Outdoor's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Deckers Outdoor's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Deckers Outdoor is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Deckers Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Deckers Outdoor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
For more information on how to buy Deckers Stock please use our How to buy in Deckers Stock guide.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deckers Outdoor. Projected growth potential of Deckers fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Deckers Outdoor assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Deckers Outdoor requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Deckers's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Deckers Outdoor's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Deckers Outdoor's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Deckers Outdoor's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Deckers Outdoor should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.