Defsec Technologies Stock Performance
| DFSC Stock | 2.08 0.13 6.67% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.77, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, DEFSEC Technologies will likely underperform. At this point, DEFSEC Technologies has a negative expected return of -1.24%. Please make sure to confirm DEFSEC Technologies' skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if DEFSEC Technologies performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days DEFSEC Technologies has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 6.67 | Five Day Return 3.48 | Year To Date Return 8.33 | Ten Year Return (99.99) | All Time Return (99.99) |
Last Split Factor 1:21 | Dividend Date 2020-09-22 | Last Split Date 2025-04-23 |
1 | Why Amazon Shares Are Trading Higher By Over 12 Here Are 20 Stocks Moving Premarket - Benzinga | 10/31/2025 |
2 | DEFSEC Technologies Announces Significant Momentum in Revenue Growth due to Increased Annualized Billings for Government Services on a Go-Forward Basis to Appro... | 12/05/2025 |
3 | 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Thursdays Intraday Session - Benzinga | 12/18/2025 |
4 | DEFSEC Technologies Inc. Announces Full Year Fiscal 2025 Results and Outlook for Fiscal 2026 | 12/30/2025 |
5 | DEFSEC Technologies Inc. Appoints Niel Marotta as Member of the Board, Effective January 23, 2026 - marketscreener.com | 01/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 256.8 K | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -180.4 K |
DEFSEC Technologies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 525.00 in DEFSEC Technologies on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (317.00) from holding DEFSEC Technologies or give up 60.38% of portfolio value over 90 days. DEFSEC Technologies is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.2634% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 65% of stocks are less volatile than DEFSEC, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
DEFSEC Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of DEFSEC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.08 | 90 days | 2.08 | about 81.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DEFSEC Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.86 (This DEFSEC Technologies probability density function shows the probability of DEFSEC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.77 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DEFSEC Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally DEFSEC Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DEFSEC Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DEFSEC Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DEFSEC Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DEFSEC Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DEFSEC Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DEFSEC Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DEFSEC Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DEFSEC Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DEFSEC Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
DEFSEC Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DEFSEC Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DEFSEC Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DEFSEC Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWE Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWE. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 M. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Rail Visions Advanced Railway Safety Technology to Be Showcased at CES 2026 by Israel Railways |
DEFSEC Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DEFSEC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DEFSEC Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DEFSEC Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 610.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
DEFSEC Technologies Fundamentals Growth
DEFSEC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of DEFSEC Technologies, and DEFSEC Technologies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on DEFSEC Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.47 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.63 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.31) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (1.29) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.76 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.42 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.14 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.94 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.38 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (8.29 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (9.63 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.3 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.87 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.96 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (31.31) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.72 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 12.92 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (52.28 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 6.03 M | ||||
About DEFSEC Technologies Performance
By analyzing DEFSEC Technologies' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into DEFSEC Technologies' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if DEFSEC Technologies has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if DEFSEC Technologies has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 68.06 | 64.66 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.82) | (0.86) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.82) | (0.86) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.67) | (0.70) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.42) | (1.35) |
Things to note about DEFSEC Technologies performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about DEFSEC Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for DEFSEC Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DEFSEC Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWE Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWE. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 M. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Rail Visions Advanced Railway Safety Technology to Be Showcased at CES 2026 by Israel Railways |
- Analyzing DEFSEC Technologies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether DEFSEC Technologies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining DEFSEC Technologies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating DEFSEC Technologies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of DEFSEC Technologies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of DEFSEC Technologies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into DEFSEC Technologies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for DEFSEC Stock analysis
When running DEFSEC Technologies' price analysis, check to measure DEFSEC Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DEFSEC Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of DEFSEC Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DEFSEC Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DEFSEC Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DEFSEC Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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