Federal Signal Stock Performance
| FSS Stock | USD 108.28 0.69 0.63% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.13, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Federal Signal returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Federal Signal is expected to follow. At this point, Federal Signal has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to confirm Federal Signal's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Federal Signal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Federal Signal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors. ...more
| Federal Signal dividend paid on 2nd of December 2025 | 12/02/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 61 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -78.9 M |
Federal Signal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 11,788 in Federal Signal on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (960.00) from holding Federal Signal or give up 8.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. Federal Signal is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.3958% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Federal, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Federal Signal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Federal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 108.28 | 90 days | 108.28 | about 91.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Signal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.82 (This Federal Signal probability density function shows the probability of Federal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually indicates Federal Signal market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Federal Signal is expected to follow. Additionally Federal Signal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Federal Signal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal Signal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Signal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Signal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federal Signal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Signal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Signal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Signal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Signal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Federal Signal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Signal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Signal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Signal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of December 2025 Federal Signal paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Federal Signal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal Signal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Signal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.1 M |
Federal Signal Fundamentals Growth
Federal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal Signal, and Federal Signal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 7.09 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.81 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 31.56 X | |||
| Price To Book | 5.22 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.22 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.86 B | |||
| EBITDA | 341.7 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 91.1 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.51 X | |||
| Total Debt | 252.4 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 21.74 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 231.3 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.82 X | |||
| Total Asset | 1.77 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 1.1 B | |||
| Current Asset | 315.1 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 117.2 M | |||
About Federal Signal Performance
Assessing Federal Signal's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Federal Signal's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Federal Signal is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Federal Signal Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. Federal Signal Corporation was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois. Federal Signal operates under Pollution Treatment Controls classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 00 people.Things to note about Federal Signal performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Signal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Signal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Signal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of December 2025 Federal Signal paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
- Analyzing Federal Signal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal Signal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Federal Signal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Federal Signal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal Signal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal Signal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Federal Signal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis
When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.