Natural Alternatives International Stock Performance
| NAII Stock | USD 4.15 0.17 3.94% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Natural Alternatives holds a performance score of 11. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.27, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Natural Alternatives are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Natural Alternatives is likely to outperform the market. Please check Natural Alternatives' expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Natural Alternatives' current price movements will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natural Alternatives International are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly inconsistent forward indicators, Natural Alternatives demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.94) | Five Day Return (9.98) | Year To Date Return 15.6 | Ten Year Return (46.93) | All Time Return (52.57) |
Last Split Factor 1:50 | Last Split Date 1990-01-05 |
1 | Published on 2025-10-29 071056 - newser.com | 10/29/2025 |
2 | Natural Alternatives International, Inc. Announces 2026 Q1 Results | 11/12/2025 |
3 | Why institutional investors increase stakes in Natural Alternatives International Inc. stock - July 2025 Catalysts Weekly High Momentum Picks - newser.com | 11/18/2025 |
4 | Natural Alternatives International, Inc.s Shares Bounce 35 percent But Its Business Still Trails The Industry | 11/25/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 5265 shares by Kenneth Wolf of Natural Alternatives at 7.4 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 2500 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 16.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
7 | Is Natural Alternatives International Inc. stock a smart buy before Fed meeting - Trade Performance Summary Smart Money Movement Tracker - Blm Sonu Canavar | 12/19/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 10000 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/23/2025 |
9 | Niche Focus Regulation Shape the Future of Healthcare Firms | 01/15/2026 |
10 | Big Picture Whats the profit margin of Natural Alternatives International Inc - July 2025 Drop Watch Safe Investment Capital Preservation Plans - baoquankhu1.vn | 01/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 12 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.6 M |
Natural Alternatives Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 286.00 in Natural Alternatives International on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 129.00 from holding Natural Alternatives International or generate 45.1% return on investment over 90 days. Natural Alternatives International is currently generating 0.7189% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.7666% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 42% of stocks are less volatile than Natural, and 86% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Natural Alternatives Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Natural Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.15 | 90 days | 4.15 | about 10.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natural Alternatives to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.94 (This Natural Alternatives International probability density function shows the probability of Natural Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natural Alternatives International has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Natural Alternatives are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Natural Alternatives International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Natural Alternatives International has an alpha of 0.7623, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Natural Alternatives Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Natural Alternatives
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natural Alternatives. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Natural Alternatives Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natural Alternatives is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natural Alternatives' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natural Alternatives International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natural Alternatives within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Natural Alternatives Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natural Alternatives for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natural Alternatives can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Natural Alternatives appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 129.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.43 M. | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Big Picture Whats the profit margin of Natural Alternatives International Inc - July 2025 Drop Watch Safe Investment Capital Preservation Plans - baoquankhu1.vn |
Natural Alternatives Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natural Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natural Alternatives' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natural Alternatives' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.3 M |
Natural Alternatives Fundamentals Growth
Natural Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Natural Alternatives, and Natural Alternatives fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Natural Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.16 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0202 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.09) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 76.82 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 6.18 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 13.08 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.37 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.19 X | ||||
| Revenue | 129.86 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 11.43 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (2.7 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (13.57 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 21.83 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.59 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 59.03 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.36 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.30 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.50 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 5.93 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (2.00) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 25.63 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 151.94 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 59.39 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 30.47 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 55.88 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 19.2 M | ||||
About Natural Alternatives Performance
By evaluating Natural Alternatives' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Natural Alternatives' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Natural Alternatives has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Natural Alternatives has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 67.76 | 54.93 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.23) | (0.22) |
Things to note about Natural Alternatives performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Natural Alternatives for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Natural Alternatives help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Natural Alternatives appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 129.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.43 M. | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Big Picture Whats the profit margin of Natural Alternatives International Inc - July 2025 Drop Watch Safe Investment Capital Preservation Plans - baoquankhu1.vn |
- Analyzing Natural Alternatives' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Natural Alternatives' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Natural Alternatives' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Natural Alternatives' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Natural Alternatives' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Natural Alternatives' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Natural Alternatives' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis
When running Natural Alternatives' price analysis, check to measure Natural Alternatives' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Alternatives is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Alternatives' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Alternatives' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Alternatives' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Alternatives to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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