Comerica Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| CMA Stock | USD 78.05 1.98 2.60% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.015 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2765 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.099 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.4444 | Wall Street Target Price 81.2778 |
Using Comerica Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comerica Incorporated from the perspective of Comerica Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Comerica Incorporated using Comerica Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Comerica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Comerica Incorporated's stock price.
Comerica Incorporated Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Comerica Incorporated's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Comerica. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Comerica Incorporated stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 64.6124 | Short Percent 0.0686 | Short Ratio 1.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.6 M | 50 Day MA 75.1324 |
Comerica Incorporated Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Comerica Incorporated's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comerica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comerica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comerica Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comerica Incorporated's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comerica Incorporated.
Comerica Incorporated Implied Volatility | 0.78 |
Comerica Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Comerica Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Comerica Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Comerica Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Comerica Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comerica Incorporated to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comerica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Comerica Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 78.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Comerica contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Comerica Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0488% per day over the life of the 2026-01-16 option contract. With Comerica Incorporated trading at USD 78.05, that is roughly USD 0.038 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Comerica Incorporated's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Comerica Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Comerica Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Comerica Incorporated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comerica Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comerica Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comerica Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Comerica Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comerica Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comerica Incorporated's historical news coverage. Comerica Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.72 and 80.30, respectively. We have considered Comerica Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comerica Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comerica Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comerica Incorporated Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comerica Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comerica Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comerica Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.30 | 0.15 | 0.08 | 16 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 16 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.05 | 78.01 | 0.05 |
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Comerica Incorporated Hype Timeline
On the 24th of November Comerica Incorporated is traded for 78.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Comerica is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 78.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Comerica Incorporated is about 617.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.13. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.42. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comerica Incorporated recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of April 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 16 days. Check out Comerica Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Comerica Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comerica Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comerica Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Comerica Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comerica Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WBS | Webster Financial | 0.60 | 11 per month | 1.96 | (0.02) | 3.07 | (2.15) | 12.72 | |
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia | 1.76 | 9 per month | 4.89 | 0.03 | 9.97 | (7.23) | 42.28 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.38 | (0.02) | 2.47 | (3.79) | 11.97 | |
| SSB | SouthState | 0.48 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.47 | (4.21) | 9.79 | |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial | (0.40) | 11 per month | 1.71 | 0.0002 | 2.54 | (2.77) | 10.23 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group, | (0.21) | 28 per month | 1.75 | 0.05 | 2.63 | (2.11) | 11.17 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | (0.82) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.13 | (4.24) | 17.80 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | 0.68 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.02 | (3.21) | 13.14 | |
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | 1.20 | 35 per month | 2.16 | (0.02) | 3.11 | (2.69) | 13.88 |
Comerica Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Comerica Incorporated Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Comerica Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comerica Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comerica Incorporated based on analysis of Comerica Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comerica Incorporated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comerica Incorporated's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0429 | 0.0535 | 0.0486 | 0.0442 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.34 | 1.4 | 1.65 | 1.82 |
Story Coverage note for Comerica Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Comerica Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Comerica Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comerica Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comerica Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Comerica Incorporated Short Properties
Comerica Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comerica Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comerica Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comerica Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comerica Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Comerica Stock analysis
When running Comerica Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Comerica Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comerica Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Comerica Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comerica Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comerica Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comerica Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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