Cummins Stock Price Prediction
| CMI Stock | USD 331.90 0.93 0.28% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.241 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.1534 | EPS Estimate Next Year 24.1836 | Wall Street Target Price 352.4695 |
Using Cummins hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cummins from the perspective of Cummins response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cummins using Cummins' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cummins using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cummins' stock price.
Cummins Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cummins' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cummins. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cummins stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 331.9153 | Short Percent 0.0202 | Short Ratio 2.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 307.8192 |
Cummins Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cummins' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cummins. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cummins can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cummins. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cummins' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cummins.
Cummins Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Cummins' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cummins stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cummins' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cummins stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cummins' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cummins to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cummins because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cummins after-hype prediction price | USD 332.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Cummins Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Cummins After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cummins at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cummins or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cummins, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cummins Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cummins' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cummins' historical news coverage. Cummins' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 329.82 and 335.44, respectively. We have considered Cummins' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cummins is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cummins is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cummins Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cummins is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cummins backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cummins, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.81 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
331.90 | 332.63 | 0.06 |
|
Cummins Hype Timeline
On the 15th of May 2025 Cummins is traded for 331.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Cummins is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 332.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 195.14%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Cummins is about 233.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 332.07. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cummins was currently reported as 79.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.68. Cummins recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of February 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of January 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Cummins Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cummins Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cummins' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cummins' future price movements. Getting to know how Cummins' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cummins may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | (0.62) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.22 | (3.43) | 10.97 | |
| DOV | Dover | (0.28) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.27 | (4.26) | 13.54 | |
| ETN | Eaton PLC | 2.69 | 5 per month | 2.78 | 0.07 | 3.49 | (4.83) | 17.30 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 3.51 | 8 per month | 3.37 | 0.04 | 3.27 | (4.43) | 19.46 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3.50 | (4.50) | 15.42 | |
| ROK | Rockwell Automation | 3.17 | 8 per month | 2.44 | 0.05 | 3.54 | (3.86) | 15.78 | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand | 0.64 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.63 | (3.55) | 13.70 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 0.57 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.05 | 2.81 | (3.41) | 14.12 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.96 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.12 | 3.18 | (2.26) | 7.17 |
Cummins Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cummins price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cummins using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cummins charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cummins Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cummins stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cummins, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cummins based on analysis of Cummins hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cummins's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cummins's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0249 | 0.0271 | 0.0201 | 0.0292 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.22 | 1.0 | 1.41 | 1.48 |
Story Coverage note for Cummins
The number of cover stories for Cummins depends on current market conditions and Cummins' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cummins is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cummins' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cummins Short Properties
Cummins' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cummins' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cummins often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cummins' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cummins' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Complementary Tools for Cummins Stock analysis
When running Cummins' price analysis, check to measure Cummins' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cummins is operating at the current time. Most of Cummins' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cummins' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cummins' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cummins to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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