H2o America Stock Price Prediction
| HTO Stock | 52.33 0.25 0.48% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using H2O America hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of H2O America from the perspective of H2O America response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in H2O America to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying H2O because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
H2O America after-hype prediction price | USD 52.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out H2O America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in H2O Stock, please use our How to Invest in H2O America guide.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of H2O America's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
H2O America After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of H2O America at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in H2O America or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of H2O America, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
H2O America Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting H2O America's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on H2O America's historical news coverage. H2O America's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.81 and 53.85, respectively. We have considered H2O America's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
H2O America is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of H2O America is based on 3 months time horizon.
H2O America Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as H2O America is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading H2O America backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with H2O America, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
52.33 | 52.33 | 0.00 |
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H2O America Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January H2O America is traded for 52.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. H2O is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on H2O America is about 2000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.32. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. H2O America has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 17th of March 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out H2O America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in H2O Stock, please use our How to Invest in H2O America guide.H2O America Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to H2O America's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict H2O America's future price movements. Getting to know how H2O America's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how H2O America may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EDN | Empresa Distribuidora y | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.26 | 0.04 | 8.93 | (5.43) | 19.85 | |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Gas | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.18 | (1.98) | 5.12 | |
| WTTR | Select Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.01 | 4.68 | (3.19) | 12.71 | |
| ELPC | Companhia Paranaense de | (0.84) | 13 per month | 2.84 | 0.07 | 4.74 | (4.17) | 13.36 | |
| CWT | California Water Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.22 | (2.85) | 7.55 | |
| MSEX | Middlesex Water | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.13 | (3.32) | 14.11 | |
| SPH | Suburban Propane Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0 | 1.69 | (2.51) | 5.44 | |
| CTRI | Centuri Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.17 | 4.16 | (2.96) | 16.66 | |
| HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | 0.11 | 4.47 | (3.43) | 12.14 | |
| AWR | American States Water | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.53 | (1.87) | 5.99 |
H2O America Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine H2O price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for H2O using various technical indicators. When you analyze H2O charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About H2O America Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of H2O America stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as H2O America, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of H2O America based on analysis of H2O America hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to H2O America's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to H2O America's related companies.
Pair Trading with H2O America
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if H2O America position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in H2O America will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against H2O Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to H2O America could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace H2O America when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back H2O America - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling H2O America to buy it.
The correlation of H2O America is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as H2O America moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if H2O America moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for H2O America can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out H2O America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in H2O Stock, please use our How to Invest in H2O America guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of H2O America. If investors know H2O will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about H2O America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of H2O America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of H2O that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of H2O America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is H2O America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because H2O America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect H2O America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between H2O America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if H2O America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, H2O America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.