Invesco Senior Income Fund Price Prediction
| VVR Fund | USD 3.31 0.01 0.30% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Invesco Senior hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco Senior Income from the perspective of Invesco Senior response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Invesco Senior to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Invesco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Invesco Senior after-hype prediction price | USD 3.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Invesco |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Senior After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Invesco Senior at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco Senior or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Invesco Senior, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Invesco Senior Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Invesco Senior's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco Senior's historical news coverage. Invesco Senior's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.68 and 3.94, respectively. We have considered Invesco Senior's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Invesco Senior is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco Senior Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Invesco Senior Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Invesco Senior is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco Senior backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco Senior, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.31 | 3.31 | 0.00 |
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Invesco Senior Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Invesco Senior Income is traded for 3.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Invesco is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco Senior is about 1675.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.31. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.93. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Invesco Senior Income recorded a loss per share of 0.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of October 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Invesco Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Invesco Senior Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco Senior's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco Senior's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco Senior's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco Senior may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IQI | Invesco Quality Municipal | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.28 | (0.14) | 0.70 | (0.61) | 1.71 | |
| VCV | Invesco California Value | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.77 | (0.02) | 1.53 | (1.55) | 3.42 | |
| VKQ | Invesco Municipal Trust | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.40 | (0.1) | 0.83 | (0.73) | 2.01 | |
| VGM | Invesco Trust For | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.39 | (0.05) | 0.68 | (0.60) | 2.24 | |
| IIM | Invesco Value Municipal | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.97 | (0.89) | 4.42 | |
| HPS | John Hancock Preferred | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.84 | (0.95) | 2.34 | |
| VKI | Invesco Advantage MIT | 0.40 | 22 per month | 0.46 | (0.08) | 0.99 | (0.91) | 2.55 | |
| BLW | BlackRock Limited Duration | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.24 | (0.14) | 0.45 | (0.52) | 1.33 | |
| SLIYX | Simt Multi Asset Income | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.29 | (0.20) | 0.49 | |
| FTHY | First Trust High | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.29 | (0.13) | 0.50 | (0.56) | 1.81 |
Invesco Senior Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Invesco Senior Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Invesco Senior stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Invesco Senior Income, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invesco Senior based on analysis of Invesco Senior hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Invesco Senior's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Invesco Senior's related companies.
Pair Trading with Invesco Senior
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Invesco Senior position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Invesco Senior will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Invesco Fund
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Invesco Senior could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Invesco Senior when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Invesco Senior - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Invesco Senior Income to buy it.
The correlation of Invesco Senior is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Invesco Senior moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Invesco Senior Income moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Invesco Senior can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Invesco Fund
Invesco Senior financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Senior security.
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