Greentree Hospitality Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.6
GHG Stock | USD 2.86 0.04 1.38% |
GreenTree |
GreenTree Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish below 14.6
The tendency of GreenTree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 14.60 after 90 days |
2.86 | 90 days | 14.60 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GreenTree Hospitality to stay under $ 14.60 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This GreenTree Hospitality Group probability density function shows the probability of GreenTree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GreenTree Hospitality price to stay between its current price of $ 2.86 and $ 14.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GreenTree Hospitality has a beta of 0.67. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GreenTree Hospitality average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GreenTree Hospitality Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GreenTree Hospitality Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. GreenTree Hospitality Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for GreenTree Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GreenTree Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GreenTree Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GreenTree Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GreenTree Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GreenTree Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GreenTree Hospitality Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GreenTree Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
GreenTree Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GreenTree Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GreenTree Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.GreenTree Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
GreenTree Hospitality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Shareholders in GreenTree Hospitality Group are in the red if they invested five years ago |
GreenTree Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GreenTree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GreenTree Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GreenTree Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
GreenTree Hospitality Technical Analysis
GreenTree Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GreenTree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GreenTree Hospitality Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing GreenTree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GreenTree Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
GreenTree Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many GreenTree Hospitality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GreenTree Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GreenTree Hospitality
Checking the ongoing alerts about GreenTree Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GreenTree Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GreenTree Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
GreenTree Hospitality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Shareholders in GreenTree Hospitality Group are in the red if they invested five years ago |
Check out GreenTree Hospitality Backtesting, GreenTree Hospitality Valuation, GreenTree Hospitality Correlation, GreenTree Hospitality Hype Analysis, GreenTree Hospitality Volatility, GreenTree Hospitality History as well as GreenTree Hospitality Performance. Note that the GreenTree Hospitality information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GreenTree Hospitality's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for GreenTree Stock analysis
When running GreenTree Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure GreenTree Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GreenTree Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of GreenTree Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GreenTree Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GreenTree Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GreenTree Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is GreenTree Hospitality's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GreenTree Hospitality. If investors know GreenTree will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GreenTree Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share 15.94 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0384 |
The market value of GreenTree Hospitality is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GreenTree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GreenTree Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GreenTree Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GreenTree Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GreenTree Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GreenTree Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GreenTree Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GreenTree Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.