Canadian Natural Resources Stock Beneish M Score

CNQ Stock  USD 74.65  0.21  0.28%   
This module uses fundamental data of Canadian Natural to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Canadian Natural M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Canadian Natural Piotroski F Score and Canadian Natural Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Canadian Natural's Long Term Debt is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 05/05/2024, Long Term Debt Total is likely to grow to about 18.4 B, while Short and Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 967.5 M. At this time, Canadian Natural's Free Cash Flow Per Share is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 05/05/2024, Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to 12.72, while Invested Capital is likely to drop 0.26.
At this time, Canadian Natural's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Canadian Natural's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Canadian Natural executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Canadian Natural's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.03
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

2.44

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.64

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.57

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.73

Focus

Canadian Natural Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Canadian Natural's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables3.3 B3.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue37.8 B36 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets40.8 B76 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets7.5 B7.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total38.1 B68.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment44.5 B78.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization7.1 B6.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative990.1 M943 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities7.8 B7.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total18.6 B28.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt9.7 B11.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt860.4 M1.3 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt11 B9.8 B
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities13 B12.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Canadian Natural Res Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Canadian Natural's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Canadian Natural in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Canadian Natural's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Canadian Natural Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

26.78 Billion

At this time, Canadian Natural's Other Operating Expenses is relatively stable compared to the past year.

Canadian Natural Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Canadian Natural. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables2.5B2.5B3.1B3.6B3.2B3.3B
Total Revenue24.4B17.5B32.9B49.5B36.0B37.8B
Total Assets78.1B75.3B76.7B76.1B76.0B40.8B
Total Current Assets4.5B4.4B5.9B7.1B7.2B7.5B
Net Debt20.8B21.3B14.0B10.5B11.5B9.7B
Short Term Debt2.4B1.3B1B404M1.3B860.4M
Long Term Debt18.6B20.1B13.7B11.0B9.8B11.0B
Operating Income5.6B(445M)9.5B14.8B10.5B11.0B
Investments(7.3B)(2.8B)128M(5.0B)(5.2B)(4.9B)

Canadian Natural ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Canadian Natural's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Canadian Natural's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Canadian Natural Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Canadian Natural Resources's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Canadian Natural using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Natural Resources based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Canadian Natural

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canadian Natural position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canadian Natural will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canadian Natural could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canadian Natural when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canadian Natural - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canadian Natural Resources to buy it.
The correlation of Canadian Natural is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canadian Natural moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canadian Natural Res moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canadian Natural can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Canadian Natural Res is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Canadian Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Canadian Natural Resources Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Canadian Natural Resources Stock:
Check out Canadian Natural Piotroski F Score and Canadian Natural Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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Is Canadian Natural's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canadian Natural. If investors know Canadian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Canadian Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44)
Dividend Share
3.7
Earnings Share
4.93
Revenue Per Share
32.837
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Canadian Natural Res is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Canadian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Canadian Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Canadian Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Canadian Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Canadian Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canadian Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canadian Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canadian Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.