Cenovus Energy Stock Beneish M Score

CVE Stock  USD 21.46  0.18  0.85%   
This module uses fundamental data of Cenovus Energy to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Cenovus Energy M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Cenovus Energy Piotroski F Score and Cenovus Energy Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Cenovus Stock refer to our How to Trade Cenovus Stock guide.
  
At present, Cenovus Energy's Short Term Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt To Assets is expected to grow to 0.26, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to about 6.9 B. At present, Cenovus Energy's PTB Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Days Sales Outstanding is expected to grow to 36.81, whereas Book Value Per Share is forecasted to decline to 11.12.
At this time, it appears that Cenovus Energy is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Cenovus Energy's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Cenovus Energy executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Cenovus Energy's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.12
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.3

Focus
Asset Quality

3.21

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.26

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.95

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.26

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.06

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.51

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.18

Focus

Cenovus Energy Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Cenovus Energy's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables2.1 B3.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue26.7 B52.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets35.9 B53.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets6.1 B9.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total29.8 B44.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment25.1 B44.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.5 B4.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative443.6 M688 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesB6.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total15 B19 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt6.9 B7.7 B
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt7.7 B7.1 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.1 B7.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.230.118
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Cenovus Energy Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Cenovus Energy's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Cenovus Energy in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Cenovus Energy's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Cenovus Energy Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

24.47 Billion

At present, Cenovus Energy's Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Cenovus Energy Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Cenovus Energy. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.6B1.4B3.9B3.6B3.2B2.1B
Total Revenue21.4B13.6B48.8B71.8B52.2B26.7B
Total Assets35.7B32.8B54.1B55.9B53.9B35.9B
Total Current Assets3.3B3.0B12.0B12.4B9.7B6.1B
Net Debt8.4B8.9B12.5B7.1B7.7B6.9B
Short Term Debt196M305M351M423M478M713.2M
Long Term Debt6.7B7.4B12.4B8.7B7.1B7.7B
Operating Income1.9B(2.2B)3.9B11.0B5.5B5.7B
Investments(1.4B)(863M)17M(2.3B)(5.2B)(4.9B)

Cenovus Energy ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Cenovus Energy's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Cenovus Energy's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Cenovus Energy Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Cenovus Energy's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Cenovus Energy using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cenovus Energy based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Cenovus Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cenovus Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cenovus Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cenovus Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cenovus Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cenovus Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cenovus Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Cenovus Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cenovus Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cenovus Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cenovus Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Cenovus Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cenovus Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cenovus Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cenovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cenovus Energy Piotroski F Score and Cenovus Energy Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Cenovus Stock refer to our How to Trade Cenovus Stock guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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Is Cenovus Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cenovus Energy. If investors know Cenovus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cenovus Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
0.525
Earnings Share
1.55
Revenue Per Share
27.541
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Cenovus Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cenovus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cenovus Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cenovus Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cenovus Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cenovus Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cenovus Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cenovus Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cenovus Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.