International Paper Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

IP Stock  USD 36.28  0.47  1.31%   
International Paper's odds of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Probability of distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate International Paper's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the International balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out International Paper Piotroski F Score and International Paper Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in International Stock, please use our How to Invest in International Paper guide.
  
As of 05/03/2024, Market Cap is likely to drop to about 9.9 B. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 15.9 B

International Paper Company probability of distress Analysis

International Paper's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current International Paper Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 6%  
Most of International Paper's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, International Paper is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of International Paper probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting International Paper odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of International Paper financial health.
Is International Paper's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Paper. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Paper listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
Dividend Share
1.85
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
53.473
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of International Paper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Paper's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Paper's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Paper's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Paper's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Paper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Paper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Paper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

International Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for International Paper is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of International Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since International Paper's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of International Paper's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of International Paper's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, International Paper has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 85.5% lower than that of the Containers & Packaging sector and 88.73% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

International Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses International Paper's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of International Paper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Paper by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
International Paper is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

International Paper Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0290.01520.03210.06280.01240.0213
Asset Turnover0.670.650.770.880.810.89
Gross Profit Margin0.30.330.320.290.210.22
Net Debt15.9B14.1B4.5B5.1B7.1B9.7B
Total Current Liabilities8.6B8.3B4.1B5B4.0B4.9B
Non Current Liabilities Total17.1B15.6B12.0B10.4B10.9B14.5B
Total Assets33.5B31.7B25.2B23.9B23.3B27.8B
Total Current Assets6.6B11.2B7.1B6.8B6.6B7.3B
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.6B3.1B2.0B2.2B1.8B2.3B

International Paper ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, International Paper's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to International Paper's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

International Fundamentals

About International Paper Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze International Paper's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of International Paper using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of International Paper based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether International Paper is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if International Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about International Paper Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about International Paper Stock:
Check out International Paper Piotroski F Score and International Paper Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in International Stock, please use our How to Invest in International Paper guide.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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Is International Paper's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Paper. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Paper listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
Dividend Share
1.85
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
53.473
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of International Paper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Paper's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Paper's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Paper's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Paper's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Paper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Paper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Paper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.