Merck Company Stock Beneish M Score

MRK Stock  USD 131.20  0.48  0.37%   
This module uses fundamental data of Merck to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Merck M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Merck Piotroski F Score and Merck Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Merck's Interest Debt Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is expected to rise to 0.35 this year, although the value of Short and Long Term Debt will most likely fall to about 1.3 B. At this time, Merck's Days Of Inventory On Hand is quite stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 4.28 this year, although the value of PTB Ratio will most likely fall to 6.91.
At this time, Merck's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Merck's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Merck executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Merck's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.79
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.93

Focus
Asset Quality

1.07

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.01

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.92

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.54

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.42

Focus

Merck Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Merck's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables11.6 B11.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue32.5 B59.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets60.3 B106.7 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets19.2 B32.2 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total41.1 B74.5 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment16.2 B24.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.8 B3.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative8.8 B8.1 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities13.3 B25.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total45.5 B43.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt2.3 B1.7 B
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Long Term Debt17.2 B33.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income2.8 BB
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities8.8 B13 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments239.4 M252 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.740.7331
Slightly Up
Slightly volatile

Merck Company Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Merck's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Merck in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Merck's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Merck Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

59.73 Billion

At this time, Merck's Other Operating Expenses is quite stable compared to the past year.

Merck Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Merck. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables6.8B7.9B9.2B9.5B11.1B11.6B
Total Revenue46.8B48.0B48.7B59.3B59.9B32.5B
Total Assets84.4B91.6B105.7B109.2B106.7B60.3B
Total Current Assets27.5B27.8B30.3B35.7B32.2B19.2B
Net Debt16.7B23.7B25.0B18.0B29.4B30.8B
Short Term Debt3.6B6.4B2.4B1.9B1.7B2.3B
Long Term Debt22.7B25.4B30.7B28.7B33.7B17.2B
Operating Income9.2B5.4B10.6B14.7B3.0B2.8B
Investments5.4B1.7B1.0B(483M)(15.9B)(15.1B)

Merck ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Merck's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Merck's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Merck Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Merck Company's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Merck using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merck Company based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Merck Investors Sentiment

The influence of Merck's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Merck. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Merck's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Merck. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Merck can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Merck Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Merck's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Merck's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Merck's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Merck.

Merck Implied Volatility

    
  21.14  
Merck's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Merck Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Merck's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Merck stock will not fluctuate a lot when Merck's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Merck in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Merck's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Merck options trading.

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When determining whether Merck Company is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Merck Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Merck Company Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Merck Company Stock:

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Is Merck's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merck. If investors know Merck will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merck listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.453
Dividend Share
2.92
Earnings Share
0.14
Revenue Per Share
23.695
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.058
The market value of Merck Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merck's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merck's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merck's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merck's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Merck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.