Scotts Miracle Gro Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Scotts Miracle Next Financial Report
Start: 2024-05-01
End: 2024-05-01
Location: Scotts Miracle Gro

SMG Stock

USD 67.75 0.09 0.13%

Scotts Miracle's odds of distress is under 25% at the present time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Scotts Miracle's Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Scotts Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Scotts balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Scotts Miracle Piotroski F Score and Scotts Miracle Altman Z Score analysis.

The Scotts Miracle's current Market Cap is estimated to increase to about 7.7 B, while Enterprise Value is projected to decrease to roughly 1.6 B.

Scotts Miracle Gro Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Scotts Miracle's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Scotts Miracle Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 25%

Most of Scotts Miracle's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Scotts Miracle Gro is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Scotts Miracle probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Scotts Miracle odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Scotts Miracle Gro financial health.

Is Scotts Miracle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scotts Miracle. If investors know Scotts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scotts Miracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.61)

Dividend Share

2.64

Earnings Share

(7.04)

Revenue Per Share

61.014

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.22)

The market value of Scotts Miracle Gro is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scotts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scotts Miracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scotts Miracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scotts Miracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scotts Miracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Long Term Debt Total	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Investments	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Current Deferred Revenue	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.11	0.69	0.74	0.88	0.79	0.78	0.94	0.2	0.64	0.7	0.63	0.3	-0.82	0.87	0.09	-0.43	0.55	0.84	0.47	0.41	0.3	0.54	0.58	0.67	0.02	-0.04
Total Stockholder Equity	0.11		-0.56	0.66	0.19	0.44	-0.43	0.04	0.29	0.33	0.49	-0.62	0.57	0.28	-0.1	-0.45	0.44	0.06	-0.42	0.1	0.04	-0.08	0.34	-0.68	-0.33	0.61	0.88
Net Debt	0.69	-0.56		0.22	0.52	0.34	0.98	0.65	0.08	0.43	0.24	0.98	0.04	-0.89	0.7	0.31	-0.71	0.45	0.89	0.42	0.46	0.2	0.2	0.91	0.72	-0.58	-0.61
Retained Earnings	0.74	0.66	0.22		0.71	0.79	0.34	0.62	0.34	0.74	0.75	0.14	0.72	-0.52	0.57	-0.21	-0.03	0.47	0.33	0.4	0.44	0.0	0.57	0.04	0.25	0.26	0.54
Accounts Payable	0.88	0.19	0.52	0.71		0.78	0.66	0.91	-0.07	0.38	0.5	0.53	0.33	-0.67	0.78	0.16	-0.06	0.28	0.67	0.17	0.11	0.47	0.67	0.44	0.72	0.04	0.16
Net Receivables	0.79	0.44	0.34	0.79	0.78		0.5	0.75	0.15	0.58	0.86	0.25	0.45	-0.52	0.74	-0.25	-0.01	0.32	0.4	0.31	0.2	0.14	0.35	0.17	0.29	0.06	0.28
Total Liab	0.78	-0.43	0.98	0.34	0.66	0.5		0.76	0.04	0.45	0.35	0.96	0.11	-0.9	0.76	0.24	-0.63	0.43	0.88	0.38	0.4	0.29	0.33	0.85	0.76	-0.55	-0.51
Total Current Assets	0.94	0.04	0.65	0.62	0.91	0.75	0.76		0.03	0.39	0.6	0.62	0.08	-0.73	0.79	0.25	-0.34	0.34	0.81	0.22	0.22	0.53	0.56	0.62	0.81	-0.01	-0.14
Short Term Debt	0.2	0.29	0.08	0.34	-0.07	0.15	0.04	0.03		0.64	0.3	-0.03	0.21	-0.08	0.0	0.05	-0.36	0.54	0.05	0.7	0.73	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	-0.07	0.18	0.06
Intangible Assets	0.64	0.33	0.43	0.74	0.38	0.58	0.45	0.39	0.64		0.64	0.32	0.69	-0.57	0.51	-0.25	-0.45	0.71	0.42	0.88	0.74	-0.24	0.3	0.15	0.07	0.03	0.21
Common Stock	0.7	0.49	0.24	0.75	0.5	0.86	0.35	0.6	0.3	0.64		0.09	0.41	-0.45	0.61	-0.44	-0.23	0.35	0.32	0.39	0.25	-0.1	0.2	0.08	0.08	0.17	0.21
Long Term Debt	0.63	-0.62	0.98	0.14	0.53	0.25	0.96	0.62	-0.03	0.32	0.09		0.0	-0.86	0.65	0.39	-0.65	0.39	0.88	0.32	0.39	0.27	0.25	0.92	0.77	-0.6	-0.62
Good Will	0.3	0.57	0.04	0.72	0.33	0.45	0.11	0.08	0.21	0.69	0.41	0.0		-0.28	0.26	-0.51	0.05	0.24	-0.02	0.43	0.28	-0.33	0.37	-0.24	-0.17	0.03	0.65
Treasury Stock	-0.82	0.28	-0.89	-0.52	-0.67	-0.52	-0.9	-0.73	-0.08	-0.57	-0.45	-0.86	-0.28		-0.85	-0.18	0.56	-0.53	-0.89	-0.41	-0.49	-0.03	-0.31	-0.78	-0.63	0.28	0.28
Property Plant Equipment	0.87	-0.1	0.7	0.57	0.78	0.74	0.76	0.79	0.0	0.51	0.61	0.65	0.26	-0.85		0.03	-0.25	0.48	0.82	0.37	0.28	0.0	0.22	0.64	0.5	-0.12	-0.11
Short Term Investments	0.09	-0.45	0.31	-0.21	0.16	-0.25	0.24	0.25	0.05	-0.25	-0.44	0.39	-0.51	-0.18	0.03		-0.09	-0.03	0.37	-0.15	0.15	0.49	0.06	0.55	0.61	-0.02	-0.4
Net Tangible Assets	-0.43	0.44	-0.71	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.63	-0.34	-0.36	-0.45	-0.23	-0.65	0.05	0.56	-0.25	-0.09		-0.39	-0.63	-0.55	-0.49	-0.12	-0.1	-0.6	-0.42	0.35	0.64
Total Permanent Equity	0.55	0.06	0.45	0.47	0.28	0.32	0.43	0.34	0.54	0.71	0.35	0.39	0.24	-0.53	0.48	-0.03	-0.39		0.49	0.66	0.86	-0.16	0.28	0.26	0.19	0.0	-0.05
Long Term Debt Total	0.84	-0.42	0.89	0.33	0.67	0.4	0.88	0.81	0.05	0.42	0.32	0.88	-0.02	-0.89	0.82	0.37	-0.63	0.49		0.4	0.39	0.29	0.33	0.88	0.78	-0.22	-0.47
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.47	0.1	0.42	0.4	0.17	0.31	0.38	0.22	0.7	0.88	0.39	0.32	0.43	-0.41	0.37	-0.15	-0.55	0.66	0.4		0.69	-0.21	0.09	0.17	0.04	-0.02	-0.02
Short Long Term Debt	0.41	0.04	0.46	0.44	0.11	0.2	0.4	0.22	0.73	0.74	0.25	0.39	0.28	-0.49	0.28	0.15	-0.49	0.86	0.39	0.69		-0.17	0.13	0.29	0.17	-0.09	-0.09
Long Term Investments	0.3	-0.08	0.2	0.0	0.47	0.14	0.29	0.53	-0.13	-0.24	-0.1	0.27	-0.33	-0.03	0.0	0.49	-0.12	-0.16	0.29	-0.21	-0.17		0.56	0.27	0.73	-0.03	-0.22
Cash And Equivalents	0.54	0.34	0.2	0.57	0.67	0.35	0.33	0.56	-0.01	0.3	0.2	0.25	0.37	-0.31	0.22	0.06	-0.1	0.28	0.33	0.09	0.13	0.56		0.06	0.57	0.11	0.27
Net Invested Capital	0.58	-0.68	0.91	0.04	0.44	0.17	0.85	0.62	-0.04	0.15	0.08	0.92	-0.24	-0.78	0.64	0.55	-0.6	0.26	0.88	0.17	0.29	0.27	0.06		0.77	-0.5	-0.72
Net Working Capital	0.67	-0.33	0.72	0.25	0.72	0.29	0.76	0.81	-0.07	0.07	0.08	0.77	-0.17	-0.63	0.5	0.61	-0.42	0.19	0.78	0.04	0.17	0.73	0.57	0.77		-0.26	-0.43
Current Deferred Revenue	0.02	0.61	-0.58	0.26	0.04	0.06	-0.55	-0.01	0.18	0.03	0.17	-0.6	0.03	0.28	-0.12	-0.02	0.35	0.0	-0.22	-0.02	-0.09	-0.03	0.11	-0.5	-0.26		0.63
Capital Stock	-0.04	0.88	-0.61	0.54	0.16	0.28	-0.51	-0.14	0.06	0.21	0.21	-0.62	0.65	0.28	-0.11	-0.4	0.64	-0.05	-0.47	-0.02	-0.09	-0.22	0.27	-0.72	-0.43	0.63

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Asset Turnover	1.04	1.22	1.03	0.91	1.2	1.28
Gross Profit Margin	0.33	0.3	0.22	0.19	0.21	0.42
Net Debt	1.5B	2.1B	2.9B	2.6B	3.0B	3.1B
Total Current Liabilities	950.4M	1.1B	963.9M	773.7M	889.8M	519.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.7B	2.6B	3.2B	2.9B	3.3B	3.5B
Total Assets	3.4B	4.8B	4.3B	3.4B	3.9B	2.2B
Total Current Assets	1.2B	2.0B	2.0B	1.4B	1.6B	887.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	558M	271.5M	(129M)	531M	610.7M	641.2M

	Return On Equity	-0.48
	Return On Asset	0.0398
	Profit Margin	(0.12) %
	Operating Margin	(0.14) %
	Current Valuation	7.15 B
	Shares Outstanding	56.69 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	25.39 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	77.20 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	4.52 M
	Price To Earning	6.67 X
	Price To Book	18.98 X
	Price To Sales	1.15 X
	Revenue	3.55 B
	Gross Profit	843 M
	EBITDA	97.8 M
	Net Income	(380.1 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	31.9 M
	Cash Per Share	0.65 X
	Total Debt	2.61 B
	Debt To Equity	9.01 %
	Current Ratio	2.41 X
	Book Value Per Share	(6.80) X
	Cash Flow From Operations	531 M
	Short Ratio	6.02 X
	Earnings Per Share	(7.04) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.98 X
	Target Price	74.8
	Number Of Employees	5.5 K
	Beta	1.68
	Market Capitalization	3.84 B
	Total Asset	3.41 B
	Retained Earnings	490.9 M
	Working Capital	624.1 M
	Current Asset	991.7 M
	Current Liabilities	593.1 M
	Annual Yield	0.04 %
	Five Year Return	2.18 %
	Net Asset	3.41 B
	Last Dividend Paid	2.64

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Scotts Miracle Gro Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Scotts Miracle Gro Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Scotts Miracle Probability Of Bankruptcy

Scotts Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Scotts Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Scotts Miracle Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Scotts Miracle ESG Sustainability

Scotts Fundamentals

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