Is Aemetis Stock a Good Investment?
Aemetis Investment Advice | AMTX |
- Examine Aemetis' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Aemetis' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Aemetis navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space and any emerging trends that could impact Aemetis' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Aemetis' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Aemetis is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Aemetis pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Aemetis' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Aemetis stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Aemetis is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Aemetis Stock
Researching Aemetis' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 21.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.8. Aemetis had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 4:1 split on the 15th of June 2016.
To determine if Aemetis is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Aemetis' research are outlined below:
| Aemetis is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aemetis appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aemetis currently holds 338.06 M in liabilities. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 267.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (87.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.05 M). | |
| Aemetis currently holds about 3.56 M in cash with (32.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Aemetis has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Aemetis India Appoints Chief Financial Officer |
Aemetis uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Aemetis. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aemetis' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 14th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 14th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aemetis' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Aemetis' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-03-05 | 2024-12-31 | -0.4052 | -0.3544 | 0.0508 | 12 | ||
2017-08-10 | 2017-06-30 | -0.24 | -0.3 | -0.06 | 25 | ||
2016-11-14 | 2016-09-30 | -0.27 | -0.21 | 0.06 | 22 | ||
2018-08-09 | 2018-06-30 | -0.34 | -0.27 | 0.07 | 20 | ||
2021-08-12 | 2021-06-30 | -0.46 | -0.38 | 0.08 | 17 | ||
2019-08-08 | 2019-06-30 | -0.44 | -0.33 | 0.11 | 25 | ||
2017-03-07 | 2016-12-31 | -0.18 | -0.07 | 0.11 | 61 | ||
2024-05-09 | 2024-03-31 | -0.46 | -0.58 | -0.12 | 26 |
Aemetis Target Price Consensus
Aemetis target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aemetis' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 5 | Buy |
Most Aemetis analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Aemetis stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Aemetis, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAemetis Target Price Projection
Aemetis' current and average target prices are 2.98 and 23.50, respectively. The current price of Aemetis is the price at which Aemetis is currently trading. On the other hand, Aemetis' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Aemetis Target Price
Aemetis Analyst Ratings
Aemetis' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Aemetis stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Aemetis' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Aemetis' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Aemetis' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aemetis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aemetis backward and forwards among themselves. Aemetis' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aemetis' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Stifel Financial Corp | 2025-03-31 | 128.1 K | Lpl Financial Corp | 2025-03-31 | 123.8 K | Pnc Financial Services Group Inc | 2025-03-31 | 113.6 K | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2025-03-31 | 89.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-03-31 | 88.7 K | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-03-31 | 87.9 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-03-31 | 85.2 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-03-31 | 81.3 K | Captrust Financial Advisors | 2025-03-31 | 74 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-03-31 | 2.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-03-31 | 2.4 M |
Aemetis' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 153.37 M.Market Cap |
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Aemetis' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.34) | (0.35) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.35) | (0.37) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.34) | (0.35) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | 0.35 |
Determining Aemetis' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Aemetis is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Aemetis' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Aemetis' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Aemetis' Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Aemetis' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Aemetis. Check Aemetis' Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Aemetis' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Aemetis' management efficiency
Aemetis has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1199) % which means that it has lost $0.1199 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Aemetis' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aemetis manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is likely to rise to 0.35 in 2025, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.35) in 2025. At this time, Aemetis' Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is likely to rise to about 46.9 M in 2025, whereas Other Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 2.7 M in 2025.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | (5.75) | (5.46) | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (5.75) | (5.46) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (12.41) | (13.03) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | (0.47) | (0.49) | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (12.41) | (13.03) | |
| Price Fair Value | (0.47) | (0.49) | |
| Enterprise Value | 342.8 M | 359.9 M |
Understanding the operational decisions made by Aemetis management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Beta 1.489 |
Basic technical analysis of Aemetis Stock
As of the 21st of July, Aemetis shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2019, mean deviation of 4.08, and Downside Deviation of 5.13. Aemetis technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.Aemetis' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aemetis insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aemetis' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aemetis insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Aemetis' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Aemetis issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Aemetis uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Aemetis bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Aemetis has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| US00775PAA57 Corp BondUS00775PAA57 | View | |
| AERCAP IRELAND CAP Corp BondUS00774MAG06 | View | |
| AERCAP IRELAND CAP Corp BondUS00774MAE57 | View | |
| AERCAP IRELAND CAP Corp BondUS00774MAB19 | View | |
| AER 385 29 OCT 41 Corp BondUS00774MAZ86 | View | |
| AER 33 30 JAN 32 Corp BondUS00774MAX39 | View | |
| AER 34 29 OCT 33 Corp BondUS00774MAY12 | View | |
| AER 245 29 OCT 26 Corp BondUS00774MAV72 | View |
Understand Aemetis' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Aemetis' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2019 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5826 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.13 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 482.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.52 | |||
| Variance | 30.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1817 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.8744 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3608 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1955 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5726 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 28.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 12.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.93) | |||
| Skewness | 0.326 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7545 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2019 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5826 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.13 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 482.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.52 | |||
| Variance | 30.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1817 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.8744 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3608 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1955 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5726 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 28.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.99) | |||
| Potential Upside | 12.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.93) | |||
| Skewness | 0.326 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7545 |
Consider Aemetis' intraday indicators
Aemetis intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aemetis stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 93221.85 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7778 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.21 |
Aemetis Stock media impact
There is far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Aemetis that are available to investors today. This information is accessible both publicly - through Aemetis' media outlets and privately, via word of mouth or internal channels. However, regardless of the source, the sheer volume of Aemetis-related data is difficult to distill into actionable insights, especially for investors who are not well-versed in the rapidly evolving tools and techniques of investment management.
A primary focus of Aemetis news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Aemetis relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Aemetis' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Aemetis alpha.
Aemetis Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Aemetis can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Aemetis Corporate Executives
Elected by the shareholders, the Aemetis' board of directors comprises two types of representatives: Aemetis inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of Aemetis. The board's role is to monitor Aemetis' management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. Aemetis' inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, Aemetis' outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.
| Todd CPA | Executive CFO | Profile | |
| Todd Waltz | CFO, Executive VP and Secretary | Profile |
Already Invested in Aemetis?
The danger of trading Aemetis is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Aemetis is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Aemetis. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Aemetis is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Additional Tools for Aemetis Stock Analysis
When running Aemetis' price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.