Okta (Germany) Market Value

0OK Stock  EUR 81.44  1.20  1.50%   
Okta's market value is the price at which a share of Okta trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Okta Inc investors about its performance. Okta is trading at 81.44 as of the 21st of July 2025. This is a 1.50 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 81.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Okta Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Okta over a given investment horizon. Check out Okta Correlation, Okta Volatility and Okta Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Okta.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Okta's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Okta is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Okta's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Okta 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Okta's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Okta.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Okta on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Okta Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Okta over 90 days. Okta is related to or competes with Oracle, Fair Isaac, SSC Technologies, Wisetech Global, Amdocs, and F5 Networks. Okta, Inc. provides identity solutions for enterprises, small and medium-sized businesses, universities, non-profits, an... More

Okta Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Okta's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Okta Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Okta Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Okta's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Okta's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Okta historical prices to predict the future Okta's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.5681.4484.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.5074.3889.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.6975.5778.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.4282.9588.49
Details

Okta Inc Backtested Returns

At this point, Okta is very steady. Okta Inc maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0133, which implies the firm had a 0.0133 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Okta Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Okta's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), coefficient of variation of (2,887), and Variance of 8.34 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0382%. Okta has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.0632, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Okta's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Okta is expected to be smaller as well. Okta Inc right now holds a risk of 2.88%. Please check Okta Inc total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Okta Inc will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

Okta Inc has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Okta time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Okta Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Okta price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.6

Okta Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Okta stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Okta's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Okta returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Okta has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Okta regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Okta stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Okta stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Okta stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Okta Lagged Returns

When evaluating Okta's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Okta stock have on its future price. Okta autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Okta autocorrelation shows the relationship between Okta stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Okta Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Okta Stock

When determining whether Okta Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Okta's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Okta Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Okta Inc Stock:
Check out Okta Correlation, Okta Volatility and Okta Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Okta.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Okta technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Okta technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Okta trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...