Tycoons Group (Taiwan) Market Value

2022 Stock  TWD 12.25  0.15  1.21%   
Tycoons Group's market value is the price at which a share of Tycoons Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tycoons Group Enterprise investors about its performance. Tycoons Group is selling for under 12.25 as of the 30th of April 2024; that is -1.21 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tycoons Group Enterprise and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tycoons Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Tycoons Group Correlation, Tycoons Group Volatility and Tycoons Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tycoons Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tycoons Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tycoons Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tycoons Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tycoons Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tycoons Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tycoons Group.
0.00
03/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tycoons Group on March 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tycoons Group Enterprise or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tycoons Group over 30 days. Tycoons Group is related to or competes with Quintain Steel, Chung Hwa, China Man, Sunko Ink, and Champion Building. ,Ltd. produces and sells spheroidized annealed wires, screws, and automotive fasteners worldwide More

Tycoons Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tycoons Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tycoons Group Enterprise upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tycoons Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tycoons Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tycoons Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tycoons Group historical prices to predict the future Tycoons Group's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tycoons Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9212.2014.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.649.9212.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.1611.4413.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5411.8413.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tycoons Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tycoons Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tycoons Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tycoons Group Enterprise.

Tycoons Group Enterprise Backtested Returns

We consider Tycoons Group not too volatile. Tycoons Group Enterprise owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0755, which indicates the firm had a 0.0755% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Tycoons Group Enterprise, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Tycoons Group's Semi Deviation of 1.48, risk adjusted performance of 0.0283, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2941.08 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Tycoons Group has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.13, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Tycoons Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Tycoons Group is likely to outperform the market. Tycoons Group Enterprise right now has a risk of 2.27%. Please validate Tycoons Group mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Tycoons Group will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

Tycoons Group Enterprise has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tycoons Group time series from 31st of March 2024 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 30th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tycoons Group Enterprise price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Tycoons Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.87
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Tycoons Group Enterprise lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tycoons Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tycoons Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tycoons Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tycoons Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tycoons Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tycoons Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tycoons Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tycoons Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tycoons Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tycoons Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tycoons Group stock have on its future price. Tycoons Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tycoons Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tycoons Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tycoons Group Enterprise.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Thematic Ideas
Explore Investing Ideas  
Check out Tycoons Group Correlation, Tycoons Group Volatility and Tycoons Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tycoons Group.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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Tycoons Group technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Tycoons Group technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Tycoons Group trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...