Algonquin Power (Germany) Market Value
751 Stock | EUR 4.99 0.03 0.60% |
Symbol | Algonquin |
Algonquin Power 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Algonquin Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Algonquin Power.
04/16/2025 |
| 07/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Algonquin Power on April 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Algonquin Power Utilities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Algonquin Power over 90 days. Algonquin Power is related to or competes with China Eastern, GOLDGROUP MINING, Perseus Mining, Globex Mining, and Easy Software. Algonquin Power Utilities Corp., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates a portfolio of regulated and non-regulated ... More
Algonquin Power Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Algonquin Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Algonquin Power Utilities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.97 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 22.02 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.09) | |||
Potential Upside | 2.51 |
Algonquin Power Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Algonquin Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Algonquin Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Algonquin Power historical prices to predict the future Algonquin Power's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1147 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.2783 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.30) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.84) |
Algonquin Power Utilities Backtested Returns
At this point, Algonquin Power is moderately volatile. Algonquin Power Utilities secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0672, which signifies that the company had a 0.0672 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Algonquin Power Utilities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Algonquin Power's risk adjusted performance of 0.1147, and Mean Deviation of 1.45 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Algonquin Power has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Algonquin Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Algonquin Power is likely to outperform the market. Algonquin Power Utilities right now shows a risk of 2.87%. Please confirm Algonquin Power Utilities downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Algonquin Power Utilities will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.37 |
Poor reverse predictability
Algonquin Power Utilities has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Algonquin Power time series from 16th of April 2025 to 31st of May 2025 and 31st of May 2025 to 15th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Algonquin Power Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Algonquin Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.37 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.04 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.02 |
Algonquin Power Utilities lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Algonquin Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Algonquin Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Algonquin Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Algonquin Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Algonquin Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Algonquin Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Algonquin Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Algonquin Power stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Algonquin Power Lagged Returns
When evaluating Algonquin Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Algonquin Power stock have on its future price. Algonquin Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Algonquin Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Algonquin Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Algonquin Power Utilities.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Algonquin Stock
When determining whether Algonquin Power Utilities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Algonquin Power's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Algonquin Power Utilities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Algonquin Power Utilities Stock:Check out Algonquin Power Correlation, Algonquin Power Volatility and Algonquin Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Algonquin Power. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Algonquin Power technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.