Barrick Gold (Germany) Market Value

ABR Stock  EUR 18.00  0.23  1.29%   
Barrick Gold's market value is the price at which a share of Barrick Gold trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Barrick Gold investors about its performance. Barrick Gold is trading at 18.00 as of the 20th of July 2025. This is a 1.29% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 17.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Barrick Gold and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Barrick Gold over a given investment horizon. Check out Barrick Gold Correlation, Barrick Gold Volatility and Barrick Gold Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Barrick Gold.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Barrick Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barrick Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barrick Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Barrick Gold 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Barrick Gold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Barrick Gold.
0.00
04/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Barrick Gold on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Barrick Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Barrick Gold over 90 days. Barrick Gold is related to or competes with National Retail, Jupiter Fund, Sims Metal, Q2M Managementberatu, Tradeweb Markets, Ares Management, and Mitsui Chemicals. Barrick Gold Corporation explores for and develops mineral properties More

Barrick Gold Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Barrick Gold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Barrick Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Barrick Gold Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Barrick Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Barrick Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Barrick Gold historical prices to predict the future Barrick Gold's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1318.0019.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8514.7219.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.1818.0519.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.4717.9218.37
Details

Barrick Gold Backtested Returns

At this point, Barrick Gold is not too volatile. Barrick Gold secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0432, which signifies that the company had a 0.0432 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Barrick Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Barrick Gold's Mean Deviation of 1.46, downside deviation of 2.07, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1003 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0806%. Barrick Gold has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.46, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Barrick Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Barrick Gold is likely to outperform the market. Barrick Gold right now shows a risk of 1.87%. Please confirm Barrick Gold jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Barrick Gold will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Barrick Gold has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Barrick Gold time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Barrick Gold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Barrick Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Barrick Gold lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Barrick Gold stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Barrick Gold's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Barrick Gold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Barrick Gold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Barrick Gold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Barrick Gold stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Barrick Gold stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Barrick Gold stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Barrick Gold Lagged Returns

When evaluating Barrick Gold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Barrick Gold stock have on its future price. Barrick Gold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Barrick Gold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Barrick Gold stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Barrick Gold.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Barrick Stock

Barrick Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Barrick Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Barrick with respect to the benefits of owning Barrick Gold security.