Cognex (Germany) Market Value

CGZ Stock  EUR 29.60  0.56  1.93%   
Cognex's market value is the price at which a share of Cognex trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cognex investors about its performance. Cognex is trading at 29.60 as of the 21st of July 2025. This is a 1.93% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 29.48.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cognex and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cognex over a given investment horizon. Check out Cognex Correlation, Cognex Volatility and Cognex Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cognex.
For more detail on how to invest in Cognex Stock please use our How to Invest in Cognex guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cognex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cognex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cognex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cognex 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cognex's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cognex.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cognex on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cognex or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cognex over 90 days. Cognex is related to or competes with PPHE HOTEL, Dalata Hotel, Sixt Leasing, FUYO GENERAL, Lendlease, Meli Hotels, and Scandic Hotels. Cognex Corporation provides machine vision products that capture and analyze visual information in order to automate tas... More

Cognex Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cognex's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cognex upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cognex Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cognex's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cognex's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cognex historical prices to predict the future Cognex's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.8329.0431.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6629.8732.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.6028.8131.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.0227.3329.63
Details

Cognex Backtested Returns

Cognex appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Cognex secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.27, which signifies that the company had a 0.27 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Cognex's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.6% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Cognex's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2153, mean deviation of 1.77, and Downside Deviation of 1.57 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Cognex holds a performance score of 21. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0914, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cognex's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cognex is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Cognex's total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Cognex's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Cognex has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cognex time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cognex price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Cognex price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.37

Cognex lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cognex stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cognex's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cognex returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cognex has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cognex regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cognex stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cognex stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cognex stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cognex Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cognex's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cognex stock have on its future price. Cognex autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cognex autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cognex stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cognex.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cognex Stock

When determining whether Cognex offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cognex's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cognex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cognex Stock:
Check out Cognex Correlation, Cognex Volatility and Cognex Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cognex.
For more detail on how to invest in Cognex Stock please use our How to Invest in Cognex guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Cognex technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Cognex technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Cognex trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...