Decred Market Value
| DCR Crypto | USD 15.75 0.23 1.48% |
| Symbol | Decred |
Decred 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Decred's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Decred.
| 04/06/2025 |
| 07/05/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Decred on April 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Decred or generate 0.0% return on investment in Decred over 90 days. Decred is related to or competes with Staked Ether, EigenLayer, Morpho, and DIA. Decred is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
Decred Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Decred's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Decred upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1105 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.35 |
Decred Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Decred's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Decred's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Decred historical prices to predict the future Decred's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2303 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5965 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3011 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1247 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.54) |
Decred Backtested Returns
Decred appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Decred secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which denotes digital coin had a 0.1 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Decred, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of coin. Please utilize Decred's Mean Deviation of 3.32, semi deviation of 3.37, and Downside Deviation of 3.67 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.36, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Decred are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Decred is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.08 |
Virtually no predictability
Decred has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Decred time series from 6th of April 2025 to 21st of May 2025 and 21st of May 2025 to 5th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Decred price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Decred price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.28 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.32 |
Decred lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Decred crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Decred's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Decred returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Decred has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Decred regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Decred crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Decred crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Decred crypto coin over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Decred Lagged Returns
When evaluating Decred's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Decred crypto coin have on its future price. Decred autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Decred autocorrelation shows the relationship between Decred crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Decred.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Decred Correlation, Decred Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Decred. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Decred technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.