The Fairholme Fund Market Value

FAIRX Fund  USD 32.63  0.08  0.25%   
The Fairholme's market value is the price at which a share of The Fairholme trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Fairholme Fund investors about its performance. The Fairholme is trading at 32.63 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 0.25 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 32.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Fairholme Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in The Fairholme over a given investment horizon. Check out The Fairholme Correlation, The Fairholme Volatility and The Fairholme Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on The Fairholme.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between The Fairholme's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if The Fairholme is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, The Fairholme's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

The Fairholme 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to The Fairholme's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of The Fairholme.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in The Fairholme on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Fairholme Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in The Fairholme over 90 days. The Fairholme is related to or competes with Calvert Global, Dreyfus Natural, Fidelity Advisor, Icon Natural, Ivy Natural, and Energy Basic. Under normal circumstances, to achieve the funds investment objective by investing in a focused portfolio of equity and ... More

The Fairholme Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure The Fairholme's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Fairholme Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

The Fairholme Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for The Fairholme's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as The Fairholme's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use The Fairholme historical prices to predict the future The Fairholme's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4232.7134.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9832.2733.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.8632.1533.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4632.1633.85
Details

The Fairholme Backtested Returns

The Fairholme appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. The Fairholme owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the fund had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for The Fairholme Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review The Fairholme's Semi Deviation of 1.1, risk adjusted performance of 0.1436, and Coefficient Of Variation of 664.81 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.97, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. the Fairholme returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, the Fairholme is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.47  

Average predictability

The Fairholme Fund has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between The Fairholme time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of The Fairholme price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current The Fairholme price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.75

The Fairholme lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is The Fairholme mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting The Fairholme's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of The Fairholme returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that The Fairholme has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

The Fairholme regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If The Fairholme mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if The Fairholme mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in The Fairholme mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

The Fairholme Lagged Returns

When evaluating The Fairholme's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of The Fairholme mutual fund have on its future price. The Fairholme autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, The Fairholme autocorrelation shows the relationship between The Fairholme mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Fairholme Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Fairholme financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Fairholme security.
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