Fidelity Japan Fund Market Value
| FJPCX Fund | USD 18.15 0.13 0.71% |
| Symbol | Fidelity |
Fidelity Japan 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Japan's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Japan.
| 04/21/2025 |
| 07/20/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fidelity Japan on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Japan Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Japan over 90 days. Fidelity Japan is related to or competes with Ab Select, Leader Short-term, Calamos Longshort, and Western Asset. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of assets in securities of Japanese issuers and other investments that are... More
Fidelity Japan Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Japan's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Japan Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9521 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1013 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.8 |
Fidelity Japan Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Japan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Japan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Japan historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Japan's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1696 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.094 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1011 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5167 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity Japan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidelity Japan Backtested Returns
Fidelity Japan appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fidelity Japan secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which denotes the fund had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fidelity Japan Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Fidelity Japan's Coefficient Of Variation of 400.75, downside deviation of 0.9521, and Mean Deviation of 0.7506 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity Japan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity Japan is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.17 |
Very weak predictability
Fidelity Japan Fund has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Japan time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Japan price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Fidelity Japan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.05 |
Fidelity Japan lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Japan mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Japan's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Japan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Japan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Fidelity Japan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Japan mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Japan mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Japan mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Fidelity Japan Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fidelity Japan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Japan mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Japan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Japan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Japan mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Japan Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity Japan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Japan security.
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