Hilltop Holdings Stock Market Value
| HTH Stock | USD 31.91 0.32 1.01% |
| Symbol | Hilltop |
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilltop Holdings. If investors know Hilltop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilltop Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.548 | Dividend Share 0.69 | Earnings Share 1.97 | Revenue Per Share 18.629 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 |
The market value of Hilltop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilltop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilltop Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilltop Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilltop Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilltop Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilltop Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilltop Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilltop Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Hilltop Holdings 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hilltop Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hilltop Holdings.
| 04/04/2025 |
| 07/03/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hilltop Holdings on April 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hilltop Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hilltop Holdings over 90 days. Hilltop Holdings is related to or competes with Ebang International, Zhihu, Coupang LLC, Modine Manufacturing, Western Digital, Dave Busters, and Weibo Corp. Hilltop Holdings Inc. provides business and consumer banking, and financial products and services More
Hilltop Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hilltop Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hilltop Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.32 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.45) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.12 |
Hilltop Holdings Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hilltop Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hilltop Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hilltop Holdings historical prices to predict the future Hilltop Holdings' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0825 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.0003) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1047 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilltop Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hilltop Holdings Backtested Returns
Hilltop Holdings appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Hilltop Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.15, which attests that the entity had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Hilltop Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Hilltop Holdings' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1147, downside deviation of 1.6, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0825 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Hilltop Holdings holds a performance score of 11. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.63, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hilltop Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hilltop Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Hilltop Holdings' semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Hilltop Holdings' current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.33 |
Below average predictability
Hilltop Holdings has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hilltop Holdings time series from 4th of April 2025 to 19th of May 2025 and 19th of May 2025 to 3rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hilltop Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Hilltop Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.33 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.1 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.34 |
Hilltop Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Hilltop Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hilltop Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hilltop Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hilltop Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Hilltop Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hilltop Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hilltop Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hilltop Holdings stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Hilltop Holdings Lagged Returns
When evaluating Hilltop Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hilltop Holdings stock have on its future price. Hilltop Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hilltop Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hilltop Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hilltop Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| VREX | Varex Imaging Corp | |
| ENPH | Enphase Energy | |
| BDC | Belden Inc | |
| ZETA | Zeta Global Holdings | |
| BTCS | BTCS Inc |
Check out Hilltop Holdings Correlation, Hilltop Holdings Volatility and Hilltop Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hilltop Holdings. For more detail on how to invest in Hilltop Stock please use our How to Invest in Hilltop Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Hilltop Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.