IShares MSCI (Netherlands) Market Value
| LTAM Etf | EUR 15.63 0.26 1.64% |
| Symbol | IShares |
IShares MSCI 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IShares MSCI's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IShares MSCI.
| 03/31/2024 |
| 04/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in IShares MSCI on March 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding iShares MSCI EM or generate 0.0% return on investment in IShares MSCI over 30 days. IShares MSCI is related to or competes with IShares III, IShares Core, IShares France, IShares Core, and IShares STOXX. The fund is an exchange traded fund that aims to track the performance of the MSCI EM Latin America Index as closely as ... More
IShares MSCI Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IShares MSCI's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess iShares MSCI EM upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 |
IShares MSCI Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IShares MSCI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IShares MSCI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IShares MSCI historical prices to predict the future IShares MSCI's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0106 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0147 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares MSCI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
iShares MSCI EM Backtested Returns
iShares MSCI EM holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0352, which attests that the entity had a -0.0352% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. iShares MSCI EM exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out IShares MSCI's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0106, downside deviation of 1.07, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0247 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0708, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, IShares MSCI's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding IShares MSCI is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.31 |
Poor reverse predictability
iShares MSCI EM has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IShares MSCI time series from 31st of March 2024 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 30th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of iShares MSCI EM price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current IShares MSCI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.31 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
iShares MSCI EM lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is IShares MSCI etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IShares MSCI's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IShares MSCI returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IShares MSCI has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
IShares MSCI regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IShares MSCI etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IShares MSCI etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IShares MSCI etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
IShares MSCI Lagged Returns
When evaluating IShares MSCI's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IShares MSCI etf have on its future price. IShares MSCI autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IShares MSCI autocorrelation shows the relationship between IShares MSCI etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in iShares MSCI EM.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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IShares MSCI technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.