Moodys Stock Market Value
MCO Stock | USD 376.13 0.95 0.25% |
Symbol | Moodys |
Moodys Price To Book Ratio
Is Moodys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moodys. If investors know Moodys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moodys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.382 | Dividend Share 3.08 | Earnings Share 8.73 | Revenue Per Share 32.293 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.147 |
The market value of Moodys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moodys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moodys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moodys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moodys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moodys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moodys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moodys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moodys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Moodys 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Moodys' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Moodys.
03/27/2024 |
| 04/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Moodys on March 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Moodys or generate 0.0% return on investment in Moodys over 30 days. Moodys is related to or competes with Dun Bradstreet, Intercontinental, Nasdaq, and CME. Moodys Corporation operates as an integrated risk assessment firm worldwide More
Moodys Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Moodys' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Moodys upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 10.62 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.69) | |||
Potential Upside | 1.8 |
Moodys Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Moodys' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Moodys' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Moodys historical prices to predict the future Moodys' volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.405 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moodys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Moodys Backtested Returns
Moodys has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0346, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0346% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Moodys exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Moodys' Mean Deviation of 0.9673, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Standard Deviation of 1.47 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Moodys are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Moodys is likely to outperform the market. Moodys has an expected return of -0.0518%. Please make sure to verify Moodys jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Moodys performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.06 |
Virtually no predictability
Moodys has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Moodys time series from 27th of March 2024 to 11th of April 2024 and 11th of April 2024 to 26th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Moodys price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Moodys price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.06 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.51 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 14.62 |
Moodys lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Moodys stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Moodys' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Moodys returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Moodys has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Moodys regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Moodys stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Moodys stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Moodys stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Moodys Lagged Returns
When evaluating Moodys' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Moodys stock have on its future price. Moodys autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Moodys autocorrelation shows the relationship between Moodys stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Moodys.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Moodys Investors Sentiment
The influence of Moodys' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Moodys. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Moodys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Moodys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Moodys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Moodys. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Moodys' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Moodys' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Moodys' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Moodys.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Moodys in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Moodys' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Moodys options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Moodys Correlation, Moodys Volatility and Moodys Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Moodys. To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.Note that the Moodys information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Moodys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Moodys Stock analysis
When running Moodys' price analysis, check to measure Moodys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moodys is operating at the current time. Most of Moodys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moodys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moodys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moodys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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