Orior AG (Switzerland) Market Value

ORON Stock  CHF 11.72  0.06  0.51%   
Orior AG's market value is the price at which a share of Orior AG trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Orior AG investors about its performance. Orior AG is selling for under 11.72 as of the 22nd of July 2025; that is 0.51 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 11.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Orior AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Orior AG over a given investment horizon. Check out Orior AG Correlation, Orior AG Volatility and Orior AG Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orior AG.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Orior AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orior AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orior AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Orior AG 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orior AG's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orior AG.
0.00
04/23/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/22/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Orior AG on April 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orior AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orior AG over 90 days. Orior AG is related to or competes with Bell AG, Emmi AG, Helvetia Holding, and Bucher Industries. ORIOR AG, together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies refined meat and convenience food in Switzerland and int... More

Orior AG Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orior AG's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orior AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Orior AG Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orior AG's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orior AG's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orior AG historical prices to predict the future Orior AG's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6811.7215.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.7710.8114.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.0612.1016.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3512.7714.20
Details

Orior AG Backtested Returns

Orior AG maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0665, which implies the firm had a -0.0665 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Orior AG exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Orior AG's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,728), variance of 16.08, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0539, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Orior AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Orior AG is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Orior AG has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to check Orior AG's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Orior AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Orior AG has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orior AG time series from 23rd of April 2025 to 7th of June 2025 and 7th of June 2025 to 22nd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orior AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Orior AG price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.51

Orior AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Orior AG stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orior AG's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orior AG returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orior AG has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Orior AG regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orior AG stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orior AG stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orior AG stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Orior AG Lagged Returns

When evaluating Orior AG's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orior AG stock have on its future price. Orior AG autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orior AG autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orior AG stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orior AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Orior Stock Analysis

When running Orior AG's price analysis, check to measure Orior AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orior AG is operating at the current time. Most of Orior AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orior AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orior AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orior AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.