Palantir Technologies (Germany) Market Value

PTX Stock   131.50  0.70  0.53%   
Palantir Technologies' market value is the price at which a share of Palantir Technologies trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Palantir Technologies investors about its performance. Palantir Technologies is selling for under 131.50 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 0.53% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 130.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Palantir Technologies and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Palantir Technologies over a given investment horizon. Check out Palantir Technologies Correlation, Palantir Technologies Volatility and Palantir Technologies Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Palantir Technologies.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Palantir Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Palantir Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Palantir Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Palantir Technologies 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Palantir Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Palantir Technologies.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Palantir Technologies on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Palantir Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in Palantir Technologies over 90 days. Palantir Technologies is related to or competes with Microsoft, Dropbox, Net 1, COGNYTE SOFTWARE, Exasol AG, and CAICA. More

Palantir Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Palantir Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Palantir Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Palantir Technologies Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Palantir Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Palantir Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Palantir Technologies historical prices to predict the future Palantir Technologies' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palantir Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.40131.50134.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.99103.09144.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
138.01141.10144.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.61121.08131.54
Details

Palantir Technologies Backtested Returns

Palantir Technologies appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Palantir Technologies maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.25, which implies the firm had a 0.25 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Palantir Technologies' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.78% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Palantir Technologies' Semi Deviation of 2.36, risk adjusted performance of 0.2188, and Coefficient Of Variation of 441.01 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Palantir Technologies holds a performance score of 19. The company holds a Beta of -0.26, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Palantir Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Palantir Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Please check Palantir Technologies' expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Palantir Technologies' historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Palantir Technologies has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Palantir Technologies time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Palantir Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Palantir Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance29.74

Palantir Technologies lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Palantir Technologies stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Palantir Technologies' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Palantir Technologies returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Palantir Technologies has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Palantir Technologies regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Palantir Technologies stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Palantir Technologies stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Palantir Technologies stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Palantir Technologies Lagged Returns

When evaluating Palantir Technologies' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Palantir Technologies stock have on its future price. Palantir Technologies autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Palantir Technologies autocorrelation shows the relationship between Palantir Technologies stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Palantir Technologies.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Palantir Stock Analysis

When running Palantir Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Palantir Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Palantir Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Palantir Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Palantir Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Palantir Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Palantir Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.