Reynolds Consumer Products Stock Market Value
| REYN Stock | USD 21.72 0.10 0.46% |
| Symbol | Reynolds |
Is Business Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Reynolds Consumer. If investors know Reynolds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Reynolds Consumer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Reynolds Consumer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Reynolds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Reynolds Consumer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Reynolds Consumer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Reynolds Consumer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Reynolds Consumer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Reynolds Consumer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Reynolds Consumer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Reynolds Consumer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Reynolds Consumer 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Reynolds Consumer's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Reynolds Consumer.
| 04/04/2025 |
| 07/03/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Reynolds Consumer on April 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Reynolds Consumer Products or generate 0.0% return on investment in Reynolds Consumer over 90 days. Reynolds Consumer is related to or competes with Harmony Gold, Nicola Mining, Western Midstream, and NRG Energy. Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. produces and sells products in cooking, waste and storage, and tableware product categor... More
Reynolds Consumer Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Reynolds Consumer's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Reynolds Consumer Products upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.81 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.27 |
Reynolds Consumer Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Reynolds Consumer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Reynolds Consumer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Reynolds Consumer historical prices to predict the future Reynolds Consumer's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 3.28 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reynolds Consumer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Reynolds Consumer Backtested Returns
Reynolds Consumer maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.078, which implies the firm had a -0.078 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Reynolds Consumer exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Reynolds Consumer's Variance of 2.4, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,282) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0398, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Reynolds Consumer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Reynolds Consumer is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Reynolds Consumer has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check Reynolds Consumer's skewness and day typical price , to decide if Reynolds Consumer performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.27 |
Poor predictability
Reynolds Consumer Products has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Reynolds Consumer time series from 4th of April 2025 to 19th of May 2025 and 19th of May 2025 to 3rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Reynolds Consumer price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Reynolds Consumer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.27 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.26 |
Reynolds Consumer lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Reynolds Consumer stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Reynolds Consumer's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Reynolds Consumer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Reynolds Consumer has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Reynolds Consumer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Reynolds Consumer stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Reynolds Consumer stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Reynolds Consumer stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Reynolds Consumer Lagged Returns
When evaluating Reynolds Consumer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Reynolds Consumer stock have on its future price. Reynolds Consumer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Reynolds Consumer autocorrelation shows the relationship between Reynolds Consumer stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Reynolds Consumer Products.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Reynolds Consumer
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Reynolds Consumer position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Reynolds Consumer will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Reynolds Stock
| 0.85 | MYE | Myers Industries | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | W | Wayfair | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | TRS | TriMas | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | AS | Amer Sports, | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | BC | Brunswick | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Reynolds Consumer could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Reynolds Consumer when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Reynolds Consumer - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Reynolds Consumer Products to buy it.
The correlation of Reynolds Consumer is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Reynolds Consumer moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Reynolds Consumer moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Reynolds Consumer can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Reynolds Consumer Correlation, Reynolds Consumer Volatility and Reynolds Consumer Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Reynolds Consumer. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Reynolds Consumer technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.