Reynolds Consumer Products Stock Price Prediction
REYN Stock | USD 28.63 0.04 0.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Reynolds Consumer stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Reynolds Consumer shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Reynolds Consumer's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Reynolds Consumer and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Reynolds Consumer's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Reynolds Consumer Products, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Reynolds Consumer's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.287 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.62 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.72 | Wall Street Target Price 31 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Reynolds Consumer based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Reynolds stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Reynolds Consumer over a specific investment horizon. Using Reynolds Consumer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reynolds Consumer Products from the perspective of Reynolds Consumer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Reynolds Consumer using Reynolds Consumer's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Reynolds using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Reynolds Consumer's stock price.
Reynolds Consumer Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Reynolds Consumer's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Reynolds. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Reynolds Consumer stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Reynolds Consumer may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Reynolds Consumer and may potentially protect profits, hedge Reynolds Consumer with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 27.2656 | Short Percent 0.037 | Short Ratio 2.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 28.6996 |
Reynolds Consumer Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Reynolds Consumer's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Reynolds. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Reynolds can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Reynolds Consumer Products. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Reynolds Consumer's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Reynolds Consumer.
Reynolds Consumer Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Reynolds Consumer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Reynolds Consumer Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Reynolds Consumer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Reynolds Consumer stock will not fluctuate a lot when Reynolds Consumer's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Reynolds Consumer. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Reynolds Consumer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Reynolds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Reynolds Consumer after-hype prediction price | USD 28.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Reynolds |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reynolds Consumer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Reynolds Consumer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reynolds Consumer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reynolds Consumer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reynolds Consumer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Reynolds Consumer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reynolds Consumer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reynolds Consumer's historical news coverage. Reynolds Consumer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.67 and 29.55, respectively. We have considered Reynolds Consumer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reynolds Consumer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reynolds Consumer is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reynolds Consumer Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reynolds Consumer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reynolds Consumer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reynolds Consumer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.91 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.63 | 28.61 | 0.07 |
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Reynolds Consumer Hype Timeline
Reynolds Consumer is at this time traded for 28.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Reynolds is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Reynolds Consumer is about 619.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.62. About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Reynolds Consumer was at this time reported as 9.44. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Reynolds Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Reynolds Consumer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reynolds Consumer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reynolds Consumer's future price movements. Getting to know how Reynolds Consumer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reynolds Consumer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
GEF | Greif Bros | 0.48 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.75 | (2.23) | 8.43 | |
KRT | Karat Packaging | (1.87) | 7 per month | 2.49 | 0.07 | 4.32 | (2.90) | 17.36 | |
SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.41 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.04 | 2.18 | (2.40) | 8.26 | |
OI | O I Glass | 0.30 | 10 per month | 3.00 | (0.01) | 3.92 | (4.47) | 20.78 | |
SON | Sonoco Products | 0.39 | 9 per month | 1.18 | (0.05) | 1.77 | (1.93) | 4.84 | |
MYE | Myers Industries | (0.18) | 9 per month | 1.32 | 0.12 | 2.92 | (2.39) | 9.12 | |
SEE | Sealed Air | (0.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.65 | (2.93) | 8.71 | |
PKG | Packaging Corp of | (1.16) | 9 per month | 1.28 | (0.03) | 1.78 | (2.01) | 7.60 | |
BALL | Ball Corporation | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.74 | 0.16 | 2.29 | (1.63) | 9.22 | |
CCK | Crown Holdings | 0.48 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.27 | (2.77) | 14.50 |
Reynolds Consumer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reynolds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reynolds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reynolds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Reynolds Consumer Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Reynolds Consumer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Reynolds Consumer Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Reynolds Consumer based on analysis of Reynolds Consumer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Reynolds Consumer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Reynolds Consumer's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0291 | 0.0305 | 0.0341 | 0.0228 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.85 | 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.01 |
Story Coverage note for Reynolds Consumer
The number of cover stories for Reynolds Consumer depends on current market conditions and Reynolds Consumer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reynolds Consumer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reynolds Consumer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Reynolds Consumer Short Properties
Reynolds Consumer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Reynolds Consumer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Reynolds Consumer Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Reynolds Consumer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reynolds Consumer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 115 M |
Check out Reynolds Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for Reynolds Stock analysis
When running Reynolds Consumer's price analysis, check to measure Reynolds Consumer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reynolds Consumer is operating at the current time. Most of Reynolds Consumer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reynolds Consumer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reynolds Consumer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reynolds Consumer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Reynolds Consumer's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Reynolds Consumer. If investors know Reynolds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Reynolds Consumer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.287 | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 1.42 | Revenue Per Share 17.886 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Reynolds Consumer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Reynolds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Reynolds Consumer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Reynolds Consumer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Reynolds Consumer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Reynolds Consumer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Reynolds Consumer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Reynolds Consumer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Reynolds Consumer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.