Simmons First National Stock Market Value

SFNC Stock  USD 19.71  0.37  1.84%   
Simmons First's market value is the price at which a share of Simmons First trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Simmons First National investors about its performance. Simmons First is trading at 19.71 as of the 23rd of July 2025, a 1.84% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 20.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Simmons First National and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Simmons First over a given investment horizon. Check out Simmons First Correlation, Simmons First Volatility and Simmons First Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Simmons First.
Symbol

Simmons First National Price To Book Ratio

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simmons First. If investors know Simmons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simmons First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.344
Dividend Share
0.845
Earnings Share
1.16
Revenue Per Share
5.892
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.087
The market value of Simmons First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simmons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simmons First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simmons First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simmons First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simmons First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simmons First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simmons First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simmons First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Simmons First 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Simmons First's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Simmons First.
0.00
04/24/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Simmons First on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Simmons First National or generate 0.0% return on investment in Simmons First over 90 days. Simmons First is related to or competes with Hilltop Holdings, Trustmark, Hbt Financial, Renasant, TriCo Bancshares, Home BancShares, and Southside Bancshares,. Simmons First National Corporation operates as the holding company for Simmons Bank that provides banking and other fina... More

Simmons First Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Simmons First's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Simmons First National upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Simmons First Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Simmons First's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Simmons First's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Simmons First historical prices to predict the future Simmons First's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1719.7121.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9419.4821.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5419.0820.62
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.6621.6023.98
Details

Simmons First National Backtested Returns

At this point, Simmons First is very steady. Simmons First National owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0784, which indicates the firm had a 0.0784 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Simmons First National, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Simmons First's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0923, coefficient of variation of 1027.41, and Semi Deviation of 1.44 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Simmons First has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.31, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Simmons First will likely underperform. Simmons First National right now has a risk of 1.51%. Please validate Simmons First treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Simmons First will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Simmons First National has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Simmons First time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Simmons First National price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Simmons First price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.5

Simmons First National lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Simmons First stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Simmons First's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Simmons First returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Simmons First has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Simmons First regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Simmons First stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Simmons First stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Simmons First stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Simmons First Lagged Returns

When evaluating Simmons First's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Simmons First stock have on its future price. Simmons First autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Simmons First autocorrelation shows the relationship between Simmons First stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Simmons First National.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Simmons First National offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Simmons First's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Simmons First National Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Simmons First National Stock:
Check out Simmons First Correlation, Simmons First Volatility and Simmons First Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Simmons First.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Simmons First technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Simmons First technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Simmons First trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...