Amtrust Financial Services Stock Performance
| AFSIM Stock | USD 14.75 0.65 4.22% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AmTrust Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AmTrust Financial is expected to be smaller as well. AmTrust Financial right now shows a risk of 2.6%. Please confirm AmTrust Financial skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if AmTrust Financial will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days AmTrust Financial Services has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy forward indicators, AmTrust Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 567.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 633.7 M |
AmTrust |
AmTrust Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,477 in AmTrust Financial Services on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding AmTrust Financial Services or give up 0.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. AmTrust Financial Services is currently producing 0.0307% returns and takes up 2.5997% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 23% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than AmTrust, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
AmTrust Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of AmTrust Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.75 | 90 days | 14.75 | about 74.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AmTrust Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.47 (This AmTrust Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of AmTrust Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AmTrust Financial has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AmTrust Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AmTrust Financial Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AmTrust Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AmTrust Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AmTrust Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AmTrust Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AmTrust Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AmTrust Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AmTrust Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AmTrust Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AmTrust Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
AmTrust Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AmTrust Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AmTrust Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AmTrust Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.82 B. Net Loss for the year was (348.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 872.65 M. | |
| AmTrust Financial Services has accumulated about 756.1 M in cash with (375.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.82. |
AmTrust Financial Fundamentals Growth
AmTrust Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AmTrust Financial, and AmTrust Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AmTrust Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0707 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0108 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.74 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 197.7 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 16.38 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.51 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.82 B | |||
| EBITDA | (284.69 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 756.1 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 3.82 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.46 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.50 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.60 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (375.3 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.98 X | |||
| Total Asset | 25.22 B | |||
About AmTrust Financial Performance
By examining AmTrust Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into AmTrust Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that AmTrust Financial is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. operates as a property and casualty company. It was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Amtrust Financial operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 9300 people.Things to note about AmTrust Financial performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about AmTrust Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for AmTrust Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AmTrust Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.82 B. Net Loss for the year was (348.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 872.65 M. | |
| AmTrust Financial Services has accumulated about 756.1 M in cash with (375.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.82. |
- Analyzing AmTrust Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AmTrust Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining AmTrust Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating AmTrust Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AmTrust Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AmTrust Financial's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into AmTrust Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in AmTrust Pink Sheet
AmTrust Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether AmTrust Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AmTrust with respect to the benefits of owning AmTrust Financial security.