Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Performance

CMG Stock  USD 31.19  0.44  1.39%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.19, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Chipotle Mexican will likely underperform. At this point, Chipotle Mexican Grill has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to confirm Chipotle Mexican's jensen alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Chipotle Mexican Grill performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Chipotle Mexican Grill has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow586.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-837.5 M

Chipotle Mexican Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,252  in Chipotle Mexican Grill on August 26, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,133) from holding Chipotle Mexican Grill or give up 26.65% of portfolio value over 90 days. Chipotle Mexican Grill is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.8665% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Chipotle, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
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Considering the 90-day investment horizon Chipotle Mexican is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.06 per unit of volatility.

Chipotle Mexican Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chipotle Mexican's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Chipotle Mexican Grill, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Chipotle Mexican's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1532

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Estimated Market Risk

 2.87
  actual daily
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75% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.44
  actual daily
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Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.15
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Chipotle Mexican is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Chipotle Mexican by adding Chipotle Mexican to a well-diversified portfolio.

Chipotle Mexican Fundamentals Growth

Chipotle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Chipotle Mexican, and Chipotle Mexican fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Chipotle Stock performance.

About Chipotle Mexican Performance

By analyzing Chipotle Mexican's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Chipotle Mexican's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Chipotle Mexican has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Chipotle Mexican has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. Chipotle Mexican operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 100000 people.

Things to note about Chipotle Mexican Grill performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chipotle Mexican for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Chipotle Mexican Grill help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chipotle Mexican generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Chipotle Mexican's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Chipotle Mexican's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Chipotle Mexican's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Chipotle Mexican's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Chipotle Mexican's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Chipotle Mexican's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Chipotle Mexican's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Chipotle Mexican's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Chipotle Mexican's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Chipotle Mexican's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Chipotle Mexican's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Chipotle Stock analysis

When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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