Security Federal Stock Performance
| SFDL Stock | USD 33.95 0.70 2.11% |
Security Federal has a performance score of 16 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0958, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Security Federal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Security Federal is expected to be smaller as well. Security Federal right now has a risk of 0.61%. Please validate Security Federal total risk alpha, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Security Federal will be following its existing price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Security Federal are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental indicators, Security Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Security |
Security Federal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,144 in Security Federal on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 251.00 from holding Security Federal or generate 7.98% return on investment over 90 days. Security Federal is currently generating 0.1278% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.613% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 5% of pink sheets are less volatile than Security, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Security Federal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Security Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 33.95 | 90 days | 33.95 | nearly 4.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Security Federal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.14 (This Security Federal probability density function shows the probability of Security Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Security Federal has a beta of 0.0958. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Security Federal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Security Federal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Security Federal has an alpha of 0.1129, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Security Federal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Security Federal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Security Federal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Security Federal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Security Federal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Security Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Security Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Security Federal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Security Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Security Federal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Security Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Security Federal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Security Federal Fundamentals Growth
Security Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Security Federal, and Security Federal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Security Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0742 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0076 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 170.48 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.25 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 12.56 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.54 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.82 X | |||
| Revenue | 47.16 M | |||
| EBITDA | 22.45 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 79.97 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 24.58 X | |||
| Total Debt | 61.94 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 7.79 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 49.20 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.16 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.14 X | |||
| Total Asset | 1.38 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 57 M | |||
About Security Federal Performance
By examining Security Federal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Security Federal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Security Federal is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Security Federal Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Security Federal Bank that provides various banking products and services. Security Federal Corporation was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Aiken, South Carolina. Security Federal operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 232 people.Things to note about Security Federal performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Security Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Security Federal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Security Federal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Security Federal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Security Federal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Security Federal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Security Federal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Security Federal's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Security Federal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Security Pink Sheet
Security Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Security Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Security with respect to the benefits of owning Security Federal security.