Toll Brothers Stock Performance

TOL Stock  USD 133.78  1.12  0.84%   
Toll Brothers has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.65, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Toll Brothers will likely underperform. Toll Brothers right now has a risk of 1.74%. Please validate Toll Brothers expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Toll Brothers will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Toll Brothers are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, Toll Brothers is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.84
Five Day Return
(0.04)
Year To Date Return
7.4
Ten Year Return
280.71
All Time Return
6.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0075
Payout Ratio
0.072
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1
Dividend Date
2025-10-24
1
US housing shares shine as Fed restarts rate cuts
09/19/2025
2
Toll Brothers Announces Preserve at San Tan Model Grand Opening in San Tan Valley, Arizona
10/03/2025
3
Toll Brothers Releases New Home Sites at Seven Shores - Port Collection in Naples, Florida
10/16/2025
4
Toll Brothers at The Pinehills - Broadleaf Community Now Open in Plymouth, Massachusetts
10/22/2025
5
Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Denton, Texas
10/23/2025
 
Toll Brothers dividend paid on 24th of October 2025
10/24/2025
6
Toll Brothers Announces Enclave at Armonk Luxury Townhome Community Now Open for Sale in Westchester County, New York
10/28/2025
7
Toll Brothers Stock Moves -2.99 percent What You Should Know
10/29/2025
8
BLBB Advisors LLC Increases Stock Holdings in Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
10/31/2025
9
Toll Brothers Opens New Community in Gold Hill Master Plan in Colorado Springs, Colorado
11/03/2025
10
Is It Worth Investing in Toll Brothers Based on Wall Streets Bullish Views
11/04/2025
11
Toll Brothers Announces New Delray Ridge Community in Delray Beach, Florida
11/05/2025
12
Is There Still Upside in Toll Brothers After Recent Housing Market Strength
11/06/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-167.6 M

Toll Brothers Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,804  in Toll Brothers on August 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  574.00  from holding Toll Brothers or generate 4.48% return on investment over 90 days. Toll Brothers is generating 0.0834% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7421% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Toll, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Toll Brothers is expected to generate 1.06 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.92 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Toll Brothers Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Toll Brothers' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Toll Brothers, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Toll Brothers' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0479

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.74
  actual daily
15
85% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.08
  actual daily
1
99% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.05
  actual daily
3
97% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Toll Brothers is performing at about 3% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Toll Brothers by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Toll Brothers Fundamentals Growth

Toll Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Toll Brothers, and Toll Brothers fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Toll Stock performance.

About Toll Brothers Performance

By examining Toll Brothers' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Toll Brothers' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Toll Brothers is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 407.80  456.00 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.22  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.14 
Return On Equity 0.24  0.17 

Things to note about Toll Brothers performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Toll Brothers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Toll Brothers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toll Brothers is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 24th of October 2025 Toll Brothers paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is There Still Upside in Toll Brothers After Recent Housing Market Strength
Evaluating Toll Brothers' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Toll Brothers' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Toll Brothers' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Toll Brothers' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Toll Brothers' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Toll Brothers' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Toll Brothers' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Toll Brothers' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Toll Brothers' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Toll Brothers' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Toll Brothers' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.036
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
13.57
Revenue Per Share
108.532
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.