Albany International Stock Price Prediction
| AIN Stock | USD 53.81 0.99 1.81% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9028 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.6675 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.995 | Wall Street Target Price 53.5 |
Using Albany International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Albany International from the perspective of Albany International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Albany International using Albany International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Albany using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Albany International's stock price.
Albany International Short Interest
An investor who is long Albany International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Albany International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Albany International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 60.9416 | Short Percent 0.0457 | Short Ratio 1.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 693.7 K | 50 Day MA 50.611 |
Albany International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Albany International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Albany. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Albany can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Albany International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Albany International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Albany International.
Albany International Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
Albany International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Albany International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Albany International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Albany International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Albany International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Albany International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Albany because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Albany International after-hype prediction price | USD 53.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Albany contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Albany International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0406% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Albany International trading at USD 53.81, that is roughly USD 0.0219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Albany International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Albany International options at the current volatility level of 0.65%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Albany International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Albany International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Albany International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Albany International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Albany International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Albany International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Albany International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Albany International's historical news coverage. Albany International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.14 and 56.50, respectively. We have considered Albany International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Albany International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Albany International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Albany International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Albany International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Albany International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Albany International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.68 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.81 | 53.82 | 0.02 |
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Albany International Hype Timeline
On the 7th of January Albany International is traded for 53.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Albany is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 53.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Albany International is about 20100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.81. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.23 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 88.06 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 234.78 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Albany International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Albany International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Albany International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Albany International's future price movements. Getting to know how Albany International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Albany International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UAA | Under Armour A | 0.1 | 11 per month | 2.18 | 0.04 | 3.89 | (3.31) | 10.84 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | (0.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.20 | (3.51) | 12.97 | |
| GOOS | Canada Goose Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 3.19 | (0.03) | 3.26 | (3.63) | 17.08 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | 0.62 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.59 | (2.39) | 6.16 | |
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holding | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.04 | (14.88) | 34.99 | |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | (0.48) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.02 | (5.49) | 28.06 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | 0.79 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 6.72 | (4.96) | 19.69 | |
| MODG | Callaway Golf | (0.33) | 10 per month | 3.00 | 0.11 | 8.81 | (4.94) | 23.39 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | (0.16) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.19 | (3.88) | 16.47 |
Albany International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Albany price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Albany using various technical indicators. When you analyze Albany charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Albany International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Albany International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Albany International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Albany International based on analysis of Albany International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Albany International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Albany International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0102 | 0.013 | 0.015 | 0.0166 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.67 | 2.03 | 1.83 | 1.02 |
Story Coverage note for Albany International
The number of cover stories for Albany International depends on current market conditions and Albany International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Albany International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Albany International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Albany International Short Properties
Albany International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Albany International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Albany International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Albany International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Albany International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 115.3 M |
Check out Albany International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Albany Stock, please use our How to Invest in Albany International guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albany International. If investors know Albany will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Albany International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share (1.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Albany International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Albany that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Albany International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Albany International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Albany International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Albany International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albany International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Albany International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albany International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.