Bluerock Homes Trust Stock Price Prediction
| BHM Stock | USD 17.20 0.14 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Bluerock Homes Trust stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bluerock Homes shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bluerock Homes' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bluerock Homes and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bluerock Homes' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bluerock Homes Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bluerock Homes' stock price prediction:Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bluerock Homes based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bluerock stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bluerock Homes over a specific investment horizon. Using Bluerock Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bluerock Homes Trust from the perspective of Bluerock Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bluerock Homes. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bluerock Homes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bluerock because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bluerock Homes after-hype prediction price | USD 17.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bluerock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bluerock Homes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bluerock Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bluerock Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bluerock Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bluerock Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bluerock Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bluerock Homes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bluerock Homes' historical news coverage. Bluerock Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.87 and 19.65, respectively. We have considered Bluerock Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bluerock Homes is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bluerock Homes Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bluerock Homes Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bluerock Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bluerock Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bluerock Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.39 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.20 | 17.26 | 0.35 |
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Bluerock Homes Hype Timeline
On the 27th of April Bluerock Homes Trust is traded for 17.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bluerock is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Bluerock Homes is about 47800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.20. The company reported the last year's revenue of 41.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.37 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 23.56 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Bluerock Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bluerock Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bluerock Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bluerock Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how Bluerock Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bluerock Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HLDVF | Henderson Land | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 3.73 | (1.09) | 8.31 | |
| MTSFY | Mitsui Fudosan Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | 0.10 | 4.29 | (3.03) | 9.70 | |
| JOE | St Joe Company | 0.02 | 8 per month | 2.07 | 0 | 2.67 | (3.38) | 9.06 | |
| NDVLY | New World Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.40 | (0.01) | 10.17 | (8.06) | 21.48 |
Bluerock Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bluerock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bluerock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bluerock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bluerock Homes Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bluerock Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bluerock Homes Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bluerock Homes based on analysis of Bluerock Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bluerock Homes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bluerock Homes's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001305 | 0.00116 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.31 | 1.24 |
Story Coverage note for Bluerock Homes
The number of cover stories for Bluerock Homes depends on current market conditions and Bluerock Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bluerock Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bluerock Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bluerock Homes Short Properties
Bluerock Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bluerock Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bluerock Homes Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bluerock Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bluerock Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.4 M |
Check out Bluerock Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bluerock Homes Trust information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bluerock Homes' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Bluerock Stock analysis
When running Bluerock Homes' price analysis, check to measure Bluerock Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bluerock Homes is operating at the current time. Most of Bluerock Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bluerock Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bluerock Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bluerock Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bluerock Homes' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bluerock Homes. If investors know Bluerock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bluerock Homes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.30) | Revenue Per Share 13.711 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 | Return On Assets (0) | Return On Equity (0.03) |
The market value of Bluerock Homes Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bluerock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bluerock Homes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bluerock Homes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bluerock Homes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bluerock Homes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bluerock Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bluerock Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bluerock Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.