Central Garden Pet Stock Price Prediction
| CENT Stock | USD 41.70 0.41 0.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Central Garden Pet stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Central Garden shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Central Garden's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Central Garden and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Central Garden's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Central Garden Pet, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Central Garden's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.122 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.95 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.23 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.46 | Wall Street Target Price 48.6 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Central Garden based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Central stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Central Garden over a specific investment horizon. Using Central Garden hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Garden Pet from the perspective of Central Garden response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Central Garden using Central Garden's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Central using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Central Garden's stock price.
Central Garden Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Central Garden's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Central. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Central Garden stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Central Garden may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Central Garden and may potentially protect profits, hedge Central Garden with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 36.8999 | Short Percent 0.1427 | Short Ratio 11.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 41.8416 |
Central Garden Pet Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Central Garden's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Central. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Central can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Central Garden Pet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Central Garden's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Central Garden.
Central Garden Implied Volatility | 10.95 |
Central Garden's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Central Garden Pet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Central Garden's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Central Garden stock will not fluctuate a lot when Central Garden's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Central Garden. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Central Garden to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Central because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Central Garden after-hype prediction price | USD 41.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Central |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Central Garden's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Central Garden After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Central Garden at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Garden or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Garden, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Central Garden Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Central Garden's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Garden's historical news coverage. Central Garden's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.62 and 43.72, respectively. We have considered Central Garden's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Central Garden is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Garden Pet is based on 3 months time horizon.
Central Garden Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Garden is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Garden backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Garden, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.05 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
41.70 | 41.67 | 0.07 |
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Central Garden Hype Timeline
Central Garden Pet is currently traded for 41.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Central is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 41.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Central Garden is about 445.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.79. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.93. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Central Garden Pet has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.56. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1277:1000 split on the 9th of February 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Central Garden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Central Garden Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Central Garden's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Garden's future price movements. Getting to know how Central Garden's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Garden may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SENEB | Seneca Foods Corp | 0.05 | 2 per month | 1.93 | 0.06 | 4.08 | (3.57) | 15.16 | |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | 2.56 | 5 per month | 2.01 | 0 | 3.07 | (2.93) | 9.69 | |
| NATR | Natures Sunshine Products | 0.04 | 11 per month | 1.86 | 0.04 | 2.70 | (2.60) | 18.84 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | 0.90 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.42 | (2.55) | 8.09 | |
| ASBFF | Associated British Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2.18 | (0.25) | 4.78 | |
| JBSS | John B Sanfilippo | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.69 | (2.46) | 6.38 | |
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | 0.39 | 12 per month | 3.10 | 0.18 | 11.72 | (4.83) | 35.62 | |
| LFVN | Lifevantage | 0.14 | 6 per month | 3.60 | 0.04 | 5.62 | (7.11) | 18.57 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.64 | (2.60) | 8.68 |
Central Garden Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Central Garden Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Central Garden stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Central Garden Pet, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Central Garden based on analysis of Central Garden hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Central Garden's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Central Garden's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002927 | 0.002939 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0465 | 0.0442 |
Story Coverage note for Central Garden
The number of cover stories for Central Garden depends on current market conditions and Central Garden's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Garden is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Garden's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Central Garden Short Properties
Central Garden's future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Garden's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Garden Pet often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Garden's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Garden's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 488.7 M |
Check out Central Garden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Central Stock analysis
When running Central Garden's price analysis, check to measure Central Garden's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Garden is operating at the current time. Most of Central Garden's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Garden's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Garden's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Garden to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Central Garden's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Central Garden. If investors know Central will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Central Garden listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.122 | Earnings Share 2.01 | Revenue Per Share 63.351 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.011 | Return On Assets 0.0451 |
The market value of Central Garden Pet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Central that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Central Garden's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Central Garden's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Central Garden's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Central Garden's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Central Garden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Central Garden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Central Garden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.