Ethan Allen Interiors Stock Price Prediction
| ETD Stock | USD 29.43 0.37 1.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Ethan Allen Interiors stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ethan Allen shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ethan Allen's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ethan Allen and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ethan Allen's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ethan Allen Interiors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ethan Allen's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.39 | Wall Street Target Price 30 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ethan Allen based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ethan stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ethan Allen over a specific investment horizon. Using Ethan Allen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ethan Allen Interiors from the perspective of Ethan Allen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ethan Allen using Ethan Allen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ethan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ethan Allen's stock price.
Ethan Allen Implied Volatility | 51.31 |
Ethan Allen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ethan Allen Interiors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ethan Allen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ethan Allen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ethan Allen's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ethan Allen. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ethan Allen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ethan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ethan Allen after-hype prediction price | USD 29.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ethan |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ethan Allen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ethan Allen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ethan Allen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ethan Allen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ethan Allen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ethan Allen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ethan Allen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ethan Allen's historical news coverage. Ethan Allen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.08 and 31.88, respectively. We have considered Ethan Allen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ethan Allen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ethan Allen Interiors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ethan Allen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ethan Allen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ethan Allen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ethan Allen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.40 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.43 | 29.48 | 0.17 |
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Ethan Allen Hype Timeline
On the 5th of May Ethan Allen Interiors is traded for 29.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Ethan is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 146.34%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Ethan Allen is about 2400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.43. The company reported the last year's revenue of 791.38 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 105.81 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 484.71 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Ethan Allen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ethan Allen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ethan Allen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ethan Allen's future price movements. Getting to know how Ethan Allen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ethan Allen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIRC | Virco Manufacturing | 0.26 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.78 | (6.32) | 21.24 | |
| EFOI | Energy Focu | 0.03 | 7 per month | 4.53 | 0.06 | 9.09 | (7.69) | 86.10 | |
| FGI | FGI Industries | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.62 | (6.79) | 29.77 |
Ethan Allen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ethan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ethan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ethan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ethan Allen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ethan Allen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ethan Allen Interiors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ethan Allen based on analysis of Ethan Allen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ethan Allen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ethan Allen's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.094 | 0.0644 | 0.0579 | 0.0608 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.63 | 0.91 | 1.05 | 1.14 |
Story Coverage note for Ethan Allen
The number of cover stories for Ethan Allen depends on current market conditions and Ethan Allen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ethan Allen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ethan Allen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ethan Allen Short Properties
Ethan Allen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ethan Allen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ethan Allen Interiors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ethan Allen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ethan Allen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172.7 M |
Check out Ethan Allen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Ethan Stock analysis
When running Ethan Allen's price analysis, check to measure Ethan Allen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ethan Allen is operating at the current time. Most of Ethan Allen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ethan Allen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ethan Allen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ethan Allen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ethan Allen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ethan Allen. If investors know Ethan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ethan Allen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Dividend Share 1.44 | Earnings Share 2.76 | Revenue Per Share 26.066 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) |
The market value of Ethan Allen Interiors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ethan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ethan Allen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ethan Allen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ethan Allen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ethan Allen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ethan Allen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ethan Allen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ethan Allen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.