First Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

FBNC Stock  USD 60.95  0.45  0.74%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of First Bancorp's share price is at 58. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Bancorp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.087
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.948
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.55
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.88
Wall Street Target Price
61.6
Using First Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Bancorp from the perspective of First Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Bancorp using First Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Bancorp's stock price.

First Bancorp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in First Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
48.1511
Short Percent
0.0421
Short Ratio
7.27
Shares Short Prior Month
1.4 M
50 Day MA
52.2598

First Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to First Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Bancorp.

First Bancorp Implied Volatility

    
  0.67  
First Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 60.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current First contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that First Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With First Bancorp trading at USD 60.95, that is roughly USD 0.0255 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating First Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring First Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out First Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.8668.0969.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.7464.3365.92
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.0661.6068.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.061.071.08
Details

First Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Bancorp's historical news coverage. First Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.36 and 62.54, respectively. We have considered First Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
60.95
60.95
After-hype Price
62.54
Upside
First Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
1.60
  0.47 
  0.45 
25 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 25 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.95
60.95
0.00 
123.08  
Notes

First Bancorp Hype Timeline

First Bancorp is currently traded for 60.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.45. First is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 123.08%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Bancorp is about 128.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.40. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.54. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 16th of November 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 25 days.
Check out First Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.

First Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how First Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CUBICustomers Bancorp 1.07 8 per month 1.14  0.16  3.73 (1.99) 10.88 
BUSEFirst Busey Corp 1.07 4 per month 1.08  0.08  3.27 (1.85) 7.92 
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services 1.30 19 per month 0.99  0.03  2.90 (1.76) 6.43 
NBTBNBT Bancorp 1.07 4 per month 1.02  0.07  2.94 (2.08) 5.68 
HTHHilltop Holdings 1.30 25 per month 0.90  0.1  2.45 (1.29) 8.69 
NICNicolet Bankshares 4.26 10 per month 1.55  0.07  2.95 (2.92) 7.36 
SYBTStock Yards Bancorp(0.35)14 per month 1.14  0.01  3.29 (1.87) 5.97 
BANRBanner 1.30 26 per month 1.07  0.02  2.94 (1.65) 6.29 
FRMEFirst Merchants 1.30 28 per month 1.02  0.05  2.91 (1.50) 6.34 
PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners 0.13 3 per month 1.53  0.05  2.99 (2.01) 6.97 

First Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Bancorp based on analysis of First Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Bancorp's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02020.02310.02010.0297
Price To Sales Ratio3.732.83.41.9

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Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure First Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of First Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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