Globus Medical Stock Price Prediction

GMED Stock  USD 61.25  3.43  5.93%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Globus Medical's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Globus Medical, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Globus Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Globus Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Globus Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Globus Medical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Globus Medical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.827
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.844
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.1676
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.6982
Wall Street Target Price
84
Using Globus Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globus Medical from the perspective of Globus Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Globus Medical using Globus Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Globus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Globus Medical's stock price.

Globus Medical Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Globus Medical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Globus. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Globus Medical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
76.6539
Short Percent
0.0418
Short Ratio
3.8
Shares Short Prior Month
3.3 M
50 Day MA
71.0198

Globus Medical Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Globus Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Globus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Globus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Globus Medical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Globus Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Globus Medical.

Globus Medical Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
Globus Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Globus Medical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Globus Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Globus Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Globus Medical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Globus Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Globus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Globus Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 57.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Globus Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Globus Stock refer to our How to Trade Globus Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Globus Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.0470.5074.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.4151.1354.85
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
79.3887.2396.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.720.780.89
Details

Globus Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Globus Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globus Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globus Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Globus Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Globus Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globus Medical's historical news coverage. Globus Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.19 and 61.63, respectively. We have considered Globus Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.

Current Value

61.25
57.91
After-hype Price
61.63
Upside
Globus Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globus Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Globus Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globus Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globus Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globus Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
3.78
  0.07 
  0.51 
9 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.25
57.91
0.16 
2,224  
Notes

Globus Medical Hype Timeline

Globus Medical is currently traded for 61.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.51. Globus is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 57.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Globus Medical is about 328.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.76. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.52 B. Net Income was 102.98 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.68 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Globus Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Globus Stock refer to our How to Trade Globus Stock guide.

Globus Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Globus Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globus Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Globus Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globus Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OFIXOrthofix Medical(0.08)9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.41 (4.66) 16.37 
CNMDCONMED 2.19 10 per month 0.00 (0.0002) 6.09 (4.54) 18.83 
ATECAlphatec Holdings 0.19 8 per month 3.01  0.11  6.57 (5.17) 17.14 
LIVNLivaNova PLC(0.21)8 per month 0.00 (0) 5.51 (4.42) 26.31 
ITGRInteger Holdings Corp 2.22 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.35 (4.14) 16.28 
IRTCiRhythm Technologies 7.00 7 per month 2.33  0.15  6.01 (4.18) 21.17 
HSKAHeska 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NUVANuVasive 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GKOSGlaukos Corp 3.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 5.23 (9.06) 25.07 
BRKRBruker 1.52 6 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.32 (6.05) 20.86 
NVRONevro Corp 0.09 32 per month 1.98  0.16  6.13 (5.53) 30.68 
PODDInsulet 1.96 11 per month 2.59  0.08  4.47 (4.58) 21.58 
INSPInspire Medical Systems(0.16)6 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.46 (5.95) 14.77 
NVCRNovocure(0.39)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.97 (5.73) 18.33 
NARIInari Medical(0.07)5 per month 1.00  0.17  4.52 (3.20) 30.79 

Globus Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Globus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Globus Medical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Globus Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Globus Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Globus Medical based on analysis of Globus Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Globus Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Globus Medical's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding77.55117.4983.7955.57
PTB Ratio4.041.512.693.89

Story Coverage note for Globus Medical

The number of cover stories for Globus Medical depends on current market conditions and Globus Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globus Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globus Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Globus Medical Short Properties

Globus Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Globus Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globus Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globus Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globus Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding137.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments890.1 M

Complementary Tools for Globus Stock analysis

When running Globus Medical's price analysis, check to measure Globus Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Globus Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Globus Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Globus Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Globus Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Globus Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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