Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Stock Price Prediction
| HASI Stock | USD 25.96 0.54 2.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Hannon Armstrong Sus stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hannon Armstrong shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hannon Armstrong's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hannon Armstrong and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hannon Armstrong's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hannon Armstrong Sustainable, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hannon Armstrong's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.57 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.42 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.66 | Wall Street Target Price 34.1 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hannon Armstrong based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hannon stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hannon Armstrong over a specific investment horizon. Using Hannon Armstrong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable from the perspective of Hannon Armstrong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hannon Armstrong using Hannon Armstrong's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hannon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hannon Armstrong's stock price.
Hannon Armstrong Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Hannon Armstrong's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hannon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hannon Armstrong stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Hannon Armstrong may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hannon Armstrong and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hannon Armstrong with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.7861 | Short Percent 0.1863 | Short Ratio 18.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.8 M | 50 Day MA 25.901 |
Hannon Armstrong Sus Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hannon Armstrong's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hannon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hannon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hannon Armstrong Sustainable. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hannon Armstrong's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hannon Armstrong.
Hannon Armstrong Implied Volatility | 54.71 |
Hannon Armstrong's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hannon Armstrong's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hannon Armstrong stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hannon Armstrong's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hannon Armstrong. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hannon Armstrong to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hannon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hannon Armstrong after-hype prediction price | USD 25.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hannon |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hannon Armstrong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hannon Armstrong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hannon Armstrong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hannon Armstrong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hannon Armstrong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hannon Armstrong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hannon Armstrong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hannon Armstrong's historical news coverage. Hannon Armstrong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.31 and 28.31, respectively. We have considered Hannon Armstrong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hannon Armstrong is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hannon Armstrong Sus is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hannon Armstrong Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hannon Armstrong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hannon Armstrong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hannon Armstrong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.48 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.96 | 25.81 | 0.58 |
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Hannon Armstrong Hype Timeline
Hannon Armstrong Sus is currently traded for 25.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Hannon is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Hannon Armstrong is about 453.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.86. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hannon Armstrong Sus has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Hannon Armstrong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hannon Armstrong Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hannon Armstrong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hannon Armstrong's future price movements. Getting to know how Hannon Armstrong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hannon Armstrong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQIX | Equinix | 3.74 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.16 | (2.61) | 8.22 | |
| CCI | Crown Castle | (1.35) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.06 | (2.52) | 7.81 | |
| AMT | American Tower Corp | (6.85) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.18 | (2.32) | 9.41 | |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated | (1.30) | 12 per month | 1.33 | 0.09 | 3.04 | (1.82) | 9.64 | |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust | (0.30) | 12 per month | 2.03 | (0) | 3.09 | (2.66) | 12.82 | |
| SBAC | SBA Communications Corp | 2.30 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.56 | (3.13) | 9.66 | |
| GLPI | Gaming Leisure Properties | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.30 | (1.99) | 8.06 |
Hannon Armstrong Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hannon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hannon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hannon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hannon Armstrong Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hannon Armstrong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hannon Armstrong Sustainable, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hannon Armstrong based on analysis of Hannon Armstrong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hannon Armstrong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hannon Armstrong's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0267 | 0.0521 | 0.0569 | 0.0498 | Price To Sales Ratio | 19.5 | 16.31 | 8.78 | 8.34 |
Story Coverage note for Hannon Armstrong
The number of cover stories for Hannon Armstrong depends on current market conditions and Hannon Armstrong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hannon Armstrong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hannon Armstrong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hannon Armstrong Short Properties
Hannon Armstrong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hannon Armstrong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hannon Armstrong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hannon Armstrong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.6 M |
Check out Hannon Armstrong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Complementary Tools for Hannon Stock analysis
When running Hannon Armstrong's price analysis, check to measure Hannon Armstrong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hannon Armstrong is operating at the current time. Most of Hannon Armstrong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hannon Armstrong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hannon Armstrong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hannon Armstrong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hannon Armstrong's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hannon Armstrong. If investors know Hannon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hannon Armstrong listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Dividend Share 1.58 | Earnings Share 1.42 | Revenue Per Share 1.345 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.728 |
The market value of Hannon Armstrong Sus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hannon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hannon Armstrong's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hannon Armstrong's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hannon Armstrong's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hannon Armstrong's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hannon Armstrong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hannon Armstrong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hannon Armstrong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.