Interactive Brokers Group Stock Price Prediction
| IBKR Stock | USD 116.15 1.19 1.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Interactive Brokers stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Interactive Brokers shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Interactive Brokers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Interactive Brokers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Interactive Brokers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Interactive Brokers Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Interactive Brokers based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Interactive stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Interactive Brokers over a specific investment horizon. Using Interactive Brokers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Interactive Brokers Group from the perspective of Interactive Brokers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Interactive Brokers. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Interactive Brokers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Interactive because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Interactive Brokers after-hype prediction price | USD 116.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Interactive |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Interactive Brokers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Interactive Brokers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Interactive Brokers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Interactive Brokers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Interactive Brokers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Interactive Brokers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Interactive Brokers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Interactive Brokers' historical news coverage. Interactive Brokers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 114.60 and 117.68, respectively. We have considered Interactive Brokers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Interactive Brokers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Interactive Brokers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Interactive Brokers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Interactive Brokers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Interactive Brokers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Interactive Brokers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
116.15 | 116.14 | 0.01 |
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Interactive Brokers Hype Timeline
Interactive Brokers is currently traded for 116.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Interactive is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 116.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Interactive Brokers is about 1102.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 116.21. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Interactive Brokers was currently reported as 34.85. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.58. Interactive Brokers last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Interactive Brokers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Interactive Brokers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Interactive Brokers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Interactive Brokers' future price movements. Getting to know how Interactive Brokers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Interactive Brokers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | 0.61 | 10 per month | 2.51 | 0.08 | 4.13 | (3.95) | 10.95 | |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | (0.1) | 10 per month | 1.90 | 0.19 | 8.14 | (3.32) | 20.33 | |
| GMS | GMS Inc | (0.68) | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.10 | 2.41 | (1.82) | 5.13 | |
| ASPN | Aspen Aerogels | (0.58) | 10 per month | 3.43 | 0.11 | 7.50 | (4.93) | 34.57 | |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises | 0.34 | 10 per month | 1.34 | 0.09 | 2.38 | (2.92) | 10.17 | |
| BUD | Anheuser Busch Inbev | 0.81 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.67 | (1.77) | 8.42 | |
| FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano | 0.71 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.56 | (2.44) | 14.82 | |
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.66 | (2.42) | 10.14 |
Interactive Brokers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Interactive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Interactive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Interactive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Interactive Brokers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Interactive Brokers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Interactive Brokers Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Interactive Brokers based on analysis of Interactive Brokers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Interactive Brokers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Interactive Brokers's related companies. Story Coverage note for Interactive Brokers
The number of cover stories for Interactive Brokers depends on current market conditions and Interactive Brokers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Interactive Brokers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Interactive Brokers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Interactive Brokers Short Properties
Interactive Brokers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Interactive Brokers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Interactive Brokers Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Interactive Brokers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interactive Brokers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.8 B |
Check out Interactive Brokers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Interactive Stock analysis
When running Interactive Brokers' price analysis, check to measure Interactive Brokers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interactive Brokers is operating at the current time. Most of Interactive Brokers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interactive Brokers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interactive Brokers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interactive Brokers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Interactive Brokers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Interactive Brokers. If investors know Interactive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Interactive Brokers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Interactive Brokers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Interactive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Interactive Brokers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Interactive Brokers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Interactive Brokers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Interactive Brokers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Interactive Brokers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Interactive Brokers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Interactive Brokers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.