Jinkosolar Holding Stock Price Prediction
| JKS Stock | USD 26.18 0.65 2.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
JinkoSolar Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of JinkoSolar Holding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of JinkoSolar Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of JinkoSolar Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from JinkoSolar Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JinkoSolar Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting JinkoSolar Holding's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.63 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.58 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.92 | Wall Street Target Price 28.16 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of JinkoSolar Holding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The JinkoSolar stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on JinkoSolar Holding over a specific investment horizon. Using JinkoSolar Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JinkoSolar Holding from the perspective of JinkoSolar Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards JinkoSolar Holding using JinkoSolar Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards JinkoSolar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of JinkoSolar Holding's stock price.
JinkoSolar Holding Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in JinkoSolar Holding's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards JinkoSolar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of JinkoSolar Holding stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long JinkoSolar Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about JinkoSolar Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge JinkoSolar Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 30.266 | Short Percent 0.0674 | Short Ratio 2.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 24.9246 |
JinkoSolar Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to JinkoSolar Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in JinkoSolar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JinkoSolar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JinkoSolar Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of JinkoSolar Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about JinkoSolar Holding.
JinkoSolar Holding Implied Volatility | 61.37 |
JinkoSolar Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JinkoSolar Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JinkoSolar Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JinkoSolar Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when JinkoSolar Holding's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in JinkoSolar Holding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JinkoSolar Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JinkoSolar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JinkoSolar Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 25.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current JinkoSolar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that JinkoSolar Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.84% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With JinkoSolar Holding trading at USD 26.18, that is roughly USD 1.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating JinkoSolar Holding's daily price movement you should consider acquiring JinkoSolar Holding options at the current volatility level of 61.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
JinkoSolar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JinkoSolar Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JinkoSolar Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JinkoSolar Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JinkoSolar Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JinkoSolar Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JinkoSolar Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JinkoSolar Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JinkoSolar Holding's historical news coverage. JinkoSolar Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.09 and 28.97, respectively. We have considered JinkoSolar Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JinkoSolar Holding is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JinkoSolar Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
JinkoSolar Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JinkoSolar Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JinkoSolar Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JinkoSolar Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 3.44 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.18 | 25.53 | 0.00 |
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JinkoSolar Holding Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of May JinkoSolar Holding is traded for 26.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. JinkoSolar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on JinkoSolar Holding is about 9828.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.17. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. JinkoSolar Holding has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.26. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out JinkoSolar Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JinkoSolar Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JinkoSolar Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JinkoSolar Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how JinkoSolar Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JinkoSolar Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RUN | Sunrun Inc | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.60 | (8.16) | 28.48 | |
| NOVA | Sunnova Energy International | (0.14) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 14.11 | (11.93) | 40.80 |
JinkoSolar Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JinkoSolar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JinkoSolar using various technical indicators. When you analyze JinkoSolar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About JinkoSolar Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JinkoSolar Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JinkoSolar Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JinkoSolar Holding based on analysis of JinkoSolar Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JinkoSolar Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JinkoSolar Holding's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.68 | 0.64 | Dividend Yield | 0.037 | 0.0329 |
Story Coverage note for JinkoSolar Holding
The number of cover stories for JinkoSolar Holding depends on current market conditions and JinkoSolar Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JinkoSolar Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JinkoSolar Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JinkoSolar Holding Short Properties
JinkoSolar Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when JinkoSolar Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JinkoSolar Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JinkoSolar Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JinkoSolar Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.1 B |
Check out JinkoSolar Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy JinkoSolar Stock please use our How to Invest in JinkoSolar Holding guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for JinkoSolar Stock analysis
When running JinkoSolar Holding's price analysis, check to measure JinkoSolar Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JinkoSolar Holding is operating at the current time. Most of JinkoSolar Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JinkoSolar Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JinkoSolar Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JinkoSolar Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is JinkoSolar Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JinkoSolar Holding. If investors know JinkoSolar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JinkoSolar Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share 7.08 | Revenue Per Share 2.2 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0258 |
The market value of JinkoSolar Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JinkoSolar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JinkoSolar Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JinkoSolar Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JinkoSolar Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JinkoSolar Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JinkoSolar Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JinkoSolar Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JinkoSolar Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.