Contextlogic Stock Price Prediction

LOGC Stock  USD 7.90  0.20  2.47%   
At the present time, The value of RSI of Contextlogic Inc's share price is at 54. This indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Contextlogic Inc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Contextlogic Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Contextlogic Inc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Contextlogic Inc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Contextlogic Inc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Contextlogic Inc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Contextlogic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Contextlogic Inc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Contextlogic Inc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Contextlogic from the perspective of Contextlogic Inc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Contextlogic Inc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Contextlogic Inc to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Contextlogic Inc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Contextlogic Inc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Contextlogic Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.676.528.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.228.079.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.227.768.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Contextlogic Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Contextlogic Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Contextlogic Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Contextlogic Inc.

Contextlogic Inc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Contextlogic Inc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Contextlogic Inc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Contextlogic Inc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Contextlogic Inc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Contextlogic Inc's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Contextlogic Inc's historical news coverage. Contextlogic Inc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.05 and 9.75, respectively. We have considered Contextlogic Inc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.90
7.90
After-hype Price
9.75
Upside
Contextlogic Inc is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Contextlogic Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Contextlogic Inc OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Contextlogic Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Contextlogic Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Contextlogic Inc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.85
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.90
7.90
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Contextlogic Inc Hype Timeline

Contextlogic Inc is now traded for 7.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Contextlogic Inc is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Contextlogic Inc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.90. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Contextlogic Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.76. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:30 split on the 12th of April 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Contextlogic Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Contextlogic Inc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Contextlogic Inc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Contextlogic Inc's future price movements. Getting to know how Contextlogic Inc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Contextlogic Inc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BZUNBaozun Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 3.25 (5.45) 17.07 
FLWS1 800 FLOWERSCOM 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 8.43 (7.97) 43.73 
CHPTChargePoint Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 6.14 (8.13) 31.33 
MSCStudio City International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.57 (7.91) 28.42 
DBIDesigner Brands 0.00 0 per month 2.72  0.17  10.60 (5.16) 52.11 
SEVAptera Motors Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 14.23 (12.11) 76.15 
SRIStoneridge 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.70 (4.33) 23.14 
INSEInspired Entertainment 0.00 0 per month 2.96 (0.02) 3.97 (4.76) 18.56 
GHGGreenTree Hospitality Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.14 (4.43) 9.06 
SDASunCar Technology Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 8.11 (5.71) 18.23 

Contextlogic Inc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Contextlogic Inc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Contextlogic Inc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Contextlogic Inc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Contextlogic Inc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Contextlogic Inc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Contextlogic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Contextlogic Inc based on analysis of Contextlogic Inc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Contextlogic Inc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Contextlogic Inc's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Contextlogic Inc

The number of cover stories for Contextlogic Inc depends on current market conditions and Contextlogic Inc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Contextlogic Inc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Contextlogic Inc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Contextlogic Inc Short Properties

Contextlogic Inc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Contextlogic Inc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Contextlogic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Contextlogic Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Contextlogic Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments149 M

Complementary Tools for Contextlogic Inc OTC Stock analysis

When running Contextlogic Inc's price analysis, check to measure Contextlogic Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Contextlogic Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Contextlogic Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Contextlogic Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Contextlogic Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Contextlogic Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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